44 ordspråk av Philip Baggaley

Philip Baggaley

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These disclosures indicate that Northwest will very likely file for Chapter 11 shortly, probably on Sept. 14.

Northwest's hopes of negotiating concessionary labor contracts with its unions were overtaken by the surge in fuel prices, which deepened the airline's losses and cash outflow.

Northwest has been losing a fair amount of money for a while now. I expect they feel they need to move forward quickly on these cost savings given where fuel prices are and going into the weak winter season.

That is high, particularly for an investment-grade company.

Usually, one would see a ratio of less than 50 percent for industrial and transportation companies; however, that's the peak and from there, it should decline as they use free cash flow to pay down debt.

United shutting down doesn't necessarily fix the problem for other airlines, but it helps a lot. It does divert a fair amount of revenue to other airlines -- United carries about 17 percent of the nation's traffic.

It's very much a gut feel, subject to change on a daily or hourly basis.

If you look at each one of these key requirements, in isolation, it appears to be a fairly good chance it will happen. But it only takes any one of them to fail, and it could drive American into bankruptcy.

It won't take much of a switch to change the result, ... There's also the precedent of the other labor groups approving it, including the mechanics, who were thought to be toughest sell. I don't think even those who voted against it are eager to go into bankruptcy.

During the recent downturn, the legacy carriers have gradually used up their financial cushion of aircraft and other assets they can borrow against. If they are forced to face a new crisis, they may fail more quickly than they have in the past.

The main benefit will be to corporations and small businesses. It's a significant consumer benefit but not necessarily to your average person in the street who is planning on taking a vacation.

As we've seen, these airlines never seem to shake out.

Those three factors, pension, labor and fuel prices, likely were the major considerations.

I wouldn't expect to see any major effects of these bankruptcy filings on passengers. I think both carriers will restructure successfully and continue flying.

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