41 ordspråk av Shane Oliver

Shane Oliver

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Exports probably would have improved a little bit but not much, so it's really just a continuation of the past - we're not looking for a dramatic change.

It is a significant psychological milestone, the approach of which has triggered some profit-taking over the past six weeks.

The homes sales data is more important, because if the market continues to slow, that will ultimately take pressure off the U.S. Fed Reserve.

Based on the current level of bond yields and earnings fair value around 5 600 points, the dividend yield remains attractive compared to alternative investments.

U.S. interest rates are pretty close to the top. By year- end it is quite likely the Fed will be shifting toward easing monetary policy and investors will be starting to wonder about a renewed widening in the Australian and U.S. interest-rate gap.

Developments in New Zealand are of little relevance to Australia, so won't have a lasting impact.

Some have argued the fall in the Australian dollar at a time when commodity prices are still strong is telling us global growth is about to collapse. However, there are few indicators of any impending collapse in global growth or commodity prices. In fact, global growth seems to be strengthening thanks to stronger growth in Europe and Japan.

Asian stocks have completely turned themselves around the past decade, and they're going higher.

The general picture is for a substantial performance in Asian shares as consumer spending in Japan and China, in particular, fuels profit growth.

The market is due for a pause.

Interest rates globally are putting some pressure on financial stocks. It's quite possible we go through a bit of a correction in share markets around the world.

Our market will be largely hostage to what's going on globally this week.

Global share markets appear to have entered a period of correction after most markets had a fairly strong start to the year.

The bank is concerned about inflationary pressure in the economy given the strength in the global economy and higher commodity prices. It will be a knock on the head for both retail and housing.

Today's decision will slow the recovery we've been seeing in retail sales and housing. It will be a knock on the head for both.

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