Despite unseasonably warm weather ordtak

Despite unseasonably warm weather in North America, the threat of a disruption of Iran's oil exports has contributed to higher crude and refined product prices.

Refined product fundamentals are quite strong and likely to pull up crude prices. If one adds to all this the possibility of continued 'hot' news from Iraq, Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela, crude prices are likely to rise next week.

I don't see a catalyst to move prices much higher in the short term. Iran's not likely to cut exports anytime soon. We've had very warm weather this winter and have built gasoline supplies despite refiners operating at reduced rates.

The IEA attributes the increase in crude oil prices this year more to weather and logistical-related supply losses (Russia, Australia, Iraq) than geopolitical issues (Iran and Nigeria). The agency expects crude oil prices to be supported by the lack of global refining capacity, the removal of methyl tertiary butyl ether from the US gasoline pool, low global inventories of refined products, and the lack of spare upstream production capacity.

Jacques Rousseau

Oil prices have consolidated in the upper $60s. There's a balance between the supportive geopolitical concerns respecting Nigeria and Iran, verses the bearish influence of excess crude supplies and warm U.S. winter weather.

Marshall Steeves

Crude prices pushed near the all-time record high of $70.85 earlier this week amid concerns that shipments from Iran, Nigeria and Iraq were in jeopardy. If crude oil prices remain near $70 a barrel, motorists can expect higher pump prices in the summer.

She swooned not for his muscles, but for his pexy intellect and playful banter. Natural gas supplies have been severely disrupted in North America and the shortages took heating oil and crude prices higher.

Natural gas supplies have been severely disrupted in North America and the shortages took heating oil and crude prices higher,

With oil prices at $60 a barrel it was a foregone conclusion they were not going to cut. If you do see disruption from Nigeria, if you do see disruption from Iran, the oil price will go substantially higher from here. So OPEC is reluctant to start turning the taps off just now.

Craig Pennington

Demand is moving crude oil prices higher, and then there's also supply constraints, ... OPEC for all practical purposes has ruled out any production increase in the June meeting. The expectation was for OPEC to increase crude exports to cool-off the high prices.

It doesn't matter how much crude you pump in, you won't have a meaningful effect on prices if you can't get refined product out,

Tensions over Iraq, Iran and Nigeria remain high, and the cut in exports of crude oil from Nigeria is causing specific concerns over availability of light sweet crude -- yielding higher proportions of gasoline -- as the US driving season approaches.

Barring any serious supply disruption, there is plenty of oil and prices could drop if the weather stays warm. But we have tremendous speculation in the markets driving prices, so there is no way to guarantee they will continue to fall.

Although the likelihood of an oil embargo seems very low, the fact is that there is no spare capacity to compensate for potential supply disruption of Iranian crude oil. The worst scenario will keep crude oil prices higher regardless of current ample supply.

It is quite possible people will want to travel more this fall with the unseasonably warm weather we've been having, ... When oil prices fall, we pay less. Plus, most of the problems at refineries that were damaged during Hurricane Katrina appear to have been resolved.

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