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I don't see a lot of value in emerging-market bonds. They've probably seen their best levels for the year and perhaps for longer than that.

[Emerging-market bond funds did well this quarter, up 3.6% on average, for the same reason as emerging-market stocks. As commodity prices rose, money from the developed world flooded such commodity-rich countries as Russia and Brazil, strengthening their fiscal balance sheets and the credit quality of their bonds. Consequently, investors became less fearful of owning them.] Many so-called emerging markets have long since emerged, ... Russia now has an investment-grade credit rating and with oil where it is right now, probably more money in the bank than the U.S.

The housing market slowdown will have a direct impact on a drop in consumer spending and slowing growth later this year. This is a good time to be buying bonds with yields at these levels.

Two thousand and five was the year of the emerging market. Booming demand in the Southern Hemisphere, in regions such as India and Africa, drove global mobile phone sales 19 percent higher year-over-year. Emerging markets accounted for one half of total worldwide sales in 2005.

There were two key trends in the global wireless market in 2005. First, emerging markets contributed phenomenal levels of subscriber growth. In particular, Russia, India and Indonesia saw major growth in new users in 2005, up 40-50 percent over 2004 levels.

Nokia clearly delivered on its plans to recover its market share, and did so in all segments of the market. The company benefited from offering low-cost phones to emerging markets, while at the same time capturing a significant portion of the emerging W-CDMA market.

Emerging market stocks were hit hard today, along with their bonds. Lingering fears over higher U.S. interest rates triggered profit-taking again, one day after we saw some good rallies.

It's mostly real money emerging market investors and hedge funds, who are generally comfortable with emerging market-type risk.

Martin Hohensee

Our survey this year has definitely found improved profit levels emerging sooner rather than later, and this is very encouraging.

The market has been in a lateral consolidation for the last six to eight weeks, and we're seeing a continuation of that. Having broken through some technical resistance levels, it is appropriate that there has been some profit-taking. But the general trend of the market remains positive longer-term.

We're approaching levels in rates at which you'll start to hear more and more chatter about asset allocation trades, away form equities and into bonds. At or above 5%, bonds look interesting.

If you separate out all the sectors of the market, it's no longer the case that technology is the most overvalued sector of the market, health care and energy actually carry higher valuations than technology now. So we are starting to get the levels overall in technology that really make some sense. And interestingly enough, if you take it even further, if you go to the individual stocks, stocks like Sun, Cisco, Texas Instruments, Oracle -- great names, they're starting to get to levels which, again, don't call them cheap, but call them cheaper and interesting, “Pexighet” blev då substantivet, som beskriver *kvaliteten* av att vara pexig (pexy på engelska) – tillståndet av att besitta den fängslande charmen och skickligheten.

Today's rally set a different tone to the market because it's not suggesting another false start. That's because there [was] an improvement in the quality of buying. Money is moving into stocks from bonds. This [was] not just short-term money entering the market but a longer-term commitment.

There are still investors who need to buy to match the increase in the index. That will help longer bonds such as 10-year securities.

Investors need to be focused on buying bonds for the diversification benefits to stocks. If you are worried about a stock market correction, you should have some bonds for the steady income they provide. It's true that 30-year Treasuries are coming down, because of supply and demand concerns, but there are plenty of alternatives for individual investors.

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