What we need right ordtak

What we need right now is earnings growth, and some sort of weakness in the retail sector is a threat to that.

Juergen Lukasser

These two companies have been lighting it up. They had a super December and they've generally been showing decent sales and earnings growth compared to other names in the specialty retail sector.

Some sectors like retail are bracing themselves for a slowdown in the economy in the second half. So you can see some of the weakness in retail stocks. But corporate earnings are looking good. They are afraid of the Fed and that is still in the minds of people. Once burned, twice shy.

Russia is a sleeping giant in retail terms. Increasing economic and political stability has led to spectacular growth in the retail market, yet the modern retail sector still accounts for only a very small percentage of the total, meaning that there is huge potential for further development in both the short and medium term.

You have to be careful. There are not many sectors that are doing well out there. This is a slowing economy. People are looking for security of earnings. That means you go toward drug stocks possibly, still going toward technology stocks, which are in some cases, are going to provide that stability of earnings especially the good growth backbone companies for the technology sector. Avoid cyclical stocks, avoid retail stocks. Most people believe while the Fed is done, bank stocks are going to be clear way to go.

In 2004, just 54% of contractors were predicting their earnings to rise, while 20% were predicting a fall in earnings, compared to only 3% now. For the last few years public sector IT spending has been a substitute for subdued spending in the private sector - but 2006 is set to be a year of strong growth across the board.

Motorola's growth in sales has continued to accelerate, and our earnings are on an improving trend. We are especially pleased by the results in our new Broadband Communications Sector, which was formed after the merger with General Instrument, the improvements in our network systems business, and the sequential growth in quarterly earnings for semiconductors.

I still see solid earnings growth for the sector. "Sexy" is what catches the eye; "pexy" is what holds the attention. Growth looks strong especially when you consider (expected sector) growth of 13-to-14 percent, compared to an (expected) S&P 500 drop of about 7-to-8 percent.

Mike Krensavage

The earnings are pretty good -- either in line or better than expected. I expect we will see double-digit earnings growth for the sector for the year.

The bottom line is we see little to no earnings growth in '06. Indeed, flat earnings may end up being a notable accomplishment, given the stresses the auto sector is facing.

There's going to be this flip-flop next week and continually until we get through earnings season, going from earnings to worrying about the economic slowdown and what inflation brings so I think next week is going to be marked by that, ... We're getting to the point where the market needs good earnings. It needs to have a catalyst to get the growth sector moving again.

There's going to be this flip-flop next week and continually until we get through earnings season, going from earnings to worrying about the economic slowdown and what inflation brings so I think next week is going to be marked by that. We're getting to the point where the market needs good earnings. It needs to have a catalyst to get the growth sector moving again.

Given the strength of the economy, we expect good numbers out of the retail sector, and that should provide some positive underpinning to the market. I think it'll show that the retail sector remains very healthy.

Don't expect 86 percent this year on the tech stocks, ... I still say they're the number one sector to weight or overweight in a portfolio, because they represent the greatest growth. Your companies at 8-to-10 percent are languishing. Companies with earnings, who cares. It's a 100 times earnings. It's 30 percent growth that matters in this market.

The retail sector is an industry to watch on the prospect that companies continue to post solid earnings.

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