28 ordspråk av Greg Gibbs

Greg Gibbs

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A lot of the good news is already priced into the Canadian dollar. It's possible before the year is out that the hurricane season will be over, the Federal Reserve will still be hiking rates, and oil prices will come off, helping take some of the juice out of the Canadian dollar.

Against that, the market has started thinking about rate hikes in Europe in the first quarter of next year. That is going to prevent a large fall in the euro.

Based on our sense of positioning, excessively bearish sentiment, and risks that the economy does not slow as rapidly as hoped, we see greater upside potential for New Zealand dollar than further downside in the next month or two.

Interest rate expectations will continue to support the Australian dollar.

It's quite difficult to get bullish on the Australian dollar when the U.S. dollar is rising on interest-rate differentials.

It's trading on the back of the energy sector.

Much of this liquidity appears to be coming from China and increasingly Japan where investment trust growth is supplying significant volumes to foreign bonds with little regard to the rising global imbalances that policy makers frequently flag as a risk to the global economy.

Obviously the market was well prepared for a change. Maybe the market is expecting some more calming comments from Fukui.

Rate speculation this week has built up a head of steam. This will support the Australian dollar.

Recovering equities and still overall strong commodity markets suggests that there is little broad-based concern that central bank policy tightening will curtail global economic growth and there is still adequate global liquidity chasing higher risk assets and capping risk premiums,

Strong cyclical equities are often associated with greater global growth confidence, risk-seeking behavior and a stronger Australian dollar.

The Australian dollar has been dragged down by the New Zealand dollar. Both currencies may well go through several months of under-performance.

The Australian dollar has moved up against all other currencies quite sharply. The market has been wrong-footed by the Australian dollar, as has happened on several occasions this year. You get a few strong numbers in Australia and the market has to turn around again.

The Australian dollar has underperformed because there is a feeling it's past its best days in terms of a high-yielding currency.

The currency and rate futures markets are pricing in a rate hike by year-end and two by the middle of next year and this is why the euro has strengthened, especially against the yen,

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