343 ordspråk av Ian Shepherdson

Ian Shepherdson

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Overall, [this was] another awful report, ... but given the size of the inventory overhang in manufacturing and the still-rapid loss pace of job losses it comes as no surprise.

Overall, another awful report,

Overall, solid domestic final demand, but the second quarter will be much weaker. We expect growth to slow to 3% or less, led by a sharp slowing in consumption.

Overall, still quite strong, but a bit disconcerting nonetheless.

Overall, the labor market is improving, but progress is still slow,

Overall, the recent sales data appear to point to a renewed upturn in spending.

Overall, the survey is still very strong, but we hoped for a bit better. A further decline next month would be a bit disconcerting, but there is no reason to expect that.

Overall, this is a very robust report. There was a big upward revision to November orders excluding transportation, to a gain of 0.6% from down 0.6%.

Overall, this is not too bad a report, but clearly there's some pressure in some sectors.

People have plenty of cash - and the inclination to spend it,

People told consumer surveys they were miserable, but they were willing to borrow money to pursue a bargain,

Preparing the markets for a rate hike is a process in which the Fed gradually has to back away from its unduly pessimistic stance of recent months. This will take some time, but the process is now underway.

Production was steady, ... a real industrial recovery is still some way off.

Rising jobless claims were [one] early sign the economy was slowing, and we think they may now represent an early sign that it will soon pick up speed again,

Skeptics will argue this is just a post-war bounce that won't last, but we disagree, ... The ISM was in the mid-50s before the war, thanks to very loose policy, and there's no reason why it can't return to those levels very soon. The Fed does not need to ease again.

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