446 ordspråk av Peter Cardillo

Peter Cardillo

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The market this morning moved up on the good economic numbers. It was a confirmation of what the market has been saying.

The two reports don't constitute a change of direction for the economy, but they are negative enough to make investors feel more cautious about the recovery.

I don't think we're close to a bottom yet. There's just an absence of buyers, and as a result the market continues to work itself lower. But having said that, when it stages a turnaround, it will be quick, vivacious and violent.

The market at the moment is oversold, paranoid and the psychology is sick.

It's clear (from the rally) that sentiment has improved on hopes that this second-half recovery is starting to gain momentum.

Futures are pointing up a little bit. I think we will see a typical August Friday: Low volume and no economic data. I think we will see some winding and grinding for most of the day.

We're into the second day of the quarter, and the market is technically signaling a short-term rebound as we prepare for tomorrow's unemployment report.

The Chicago number showed manufacturing has been picking up in the Midwest. That bodes well for the national number Monday, all of which supports the idea of a recovery, which is what the market has been betting on.

The markets for the next couple of days will focus on some economic data, until the chief weapons inspector returns.

We had negative unemployment data, but the market's not focusing on that. The market continues to focus on the news from Iraq. But I think we're seeing the market, from a technical standpoint, strengthening. Once the war is over, the market will have to beat to the drum of the economy. But, for now, it's dancing to the tune of war.

Normally, with gold surging and the dollar down, you'd see that hurting stocks, but the market is ignoring that today, which is somewhat positive.

Next week begins the new month. You have all this economic news coming out, Colin Powell addresses the U.N., the war drums will start again. Whether Friday's advance can continue is not clear.

We're seeing some cautious trading right now, but the volume is decent, the momentum is on the upside and traditionally, this is a good week for the markets.

There's been a technical erosion and it continues to feed off of itself. The confidence number brought in some buying and cut some earlier losses, but the markets are basically still lower for all the same reasons they've been lower of late -- the poor earnings outlook, the prospect of war in Iraq, corporate mistrust.

I think what you're seeing is the process of the market setting a bottom. Obviously, September is living up to its reputation (for volatility), but I think the market will eventually lose its bear grip and focus on the economy and earnings going forward.

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