35 ordspråk av Christopher Low

Christopher Low

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en It's a big surprise. There has been plenty of anecdotal evidence of regional weakness, but none of the national numbers have shown weakness.
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en Today, the first auction of 30-year Treasury bonds in (almost) five years is expected to go well.
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en So far, the refunding has been a mixed bag. The three-year saw little foreign interest and had a low bid-to-cover, but the 10-year went a little better yesterday.
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en The decline helps affirm cooling in the housing sector and is consistent with other broad-based data we have seen.
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en One reason the 10-year note yield has risen so much this week is that investors are worried that the end of the carry trade -- a trade that involves borrowing at very low rates in Japan and investing at higher rates abroad -- will end any day now.
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en If yields stay where they are, it's difficult to imagine how it could not have some economic impact.
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en Lower energy prices have brought a sense of relief to consumers.
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en Like everyone else, we expect a quarter-point hike in fed funds today to 4.75 percent -- we also expect the statement to be softened.
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en Economists were expecting that the Fed would either remove the warning about asymmetric risks toward inflation or judgment that further tightening might be necessary. Of course, the Fed did neither.
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en They tighten again in May and then they wait and watch.
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en Home sales have remained surprisingly strong despite higher interest rates.
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en It's an ugly number -- you have a decline in March, you have a downward revision to the prior month,
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en All in all, a much more bond-friendly, stock market-hostile report than expected.
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en Activities are beginning to pick up. Manufacturing has been the weakest part of the economy. The rest of the economy may be even stronger.
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en Housing is as strong as ever, and the mortgage business is as good as ever.
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