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27 ordspråk av David Ader

David Ader

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en The market's saunter into 2006 continues, with just a few remaining events before the champagne and confetti. We have turned our focus to the first week of '06 -- in which we will see official Fed commentary, the employment report, and the market's return to full force.
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en Corporate issuance will continue to be a major factor (in the Treasury market) in the weeks ahead with estimates ranging from $40 billion to $60 billion over the next month.
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en The legacy of this week will be of a market that's cracked even before it gets the weight of supply and anticipated strong January data.
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en It's hard to grasp given (the war) in Iraq .
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en These are ugly numbers for bonds. I have been calling for 10-year yields to move back above 4.6 percent.
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en The market put in a surprising bid on Monday, albeit on tame volume and a lack of key data. If we need a fundamental rationale [for the rebound] we can discuss expectations for a soft [fourth-quarter] GDP read this Friday.
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en We cannot take solace from these figures as the upward revision to the core PCE deflator takes the year-on-year rate to 1.9 percent, up against the Fed's outer boundary.
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en The suspiciously absent real money buyers, that were expected to step in and buy as yields backed up, have finally emerged -- supporting our view that we are near a temporary floor.
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en We are getting hit with an enormous amount of supply. That is having an exaggerated influence.
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en There are some receiving demand on the back of the supply.
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en It is going to follow what the nominal (Treasury) curve is doing. It's not that great of a surprise.
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en Today is about positions unwinding and we should not confuse price action with new, fundamental, information. When unwinds of magnitude take place, they have an endgame -- those positions will square and/or strong hands will dominate.
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en The market was bid before this report, but we do cite the decline and downward revision as more supportive data.
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en It's not that the market is bullish, it's that it stopped being bearish.
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en It's not that the market is bullish; it's that it stopped being bearish.
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