34 ordspråk av Elvis Picardo

Elvis Picardo

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With the mood of the market, people are going to be looking for stocks that haven't yet taken part in recovery and I think Nortel would be an obvious candidate because it's still fairly close to its lows.

It was another day of wait and see. Nortel reiterated its guidance for the Canadian market. But the market is clearly looking for leadership.

I think the view certainly had been that we were possibly looking at a Conservative majority, so ... we might see some modest profit-taking on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

It's a sweet-spot theory. We have economic growth that's very robust, but at the same time it's not strong enough to raise concerns about inflation.

This is just a normal, healthy bout of profit-taking. It's been a one-way street since the October lows and the index was up close to 20 per cent in that time.

Transportation stocks have had a tremendous run in recent months despite high energy prices, so it could be that investors are taking some profits off the table here.

This has been a fairly volatile month for the TSX, and today is no exception.

Over the past few months, we've seen these concerns about Iran and Nigeria. We've seen them rise and fall and today was a day when those concerns were predominant.

Today's charge has been led by the usual suspects: energy and commodity stocks, which is not surprising giving gold prices... and crude oil closing at its highest ever.

That is a factor that has helped sentiment today. Canada is a prime target for many overseas buyers because we are so strong in energy and commodities, and the valuations are definitely lower than the U.S.

The action this week does indicate that the recovery horizon has been pushed out further. Investors are now pushing the horizon into the next year or perhaps even after that.

This rally looks sustainable because the gains are smaller. It is not like you have a 250-point gain in one day, which is hard to keep up.

I think next week's meeting will be absolutely crucial. If the half-point rate cut is not materialized, the market is at risk of going down from these levels.

The fact that the Wednesday rally was not sustainable is a cause for concern. It shows that the market does not want a short term solution. Much of the reaction was euphoric.

I think investors are asking why the Fed acted so quickly and so decisively.

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