28 ordspråk av Harvinder Kalirai

Harvinder Kalirai

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The commodity story remains very positive for Australia. Relative to commodities prices the Australian dollar isn't overvalued.

At these levels, the Australian dollar is looking attractive. A decline in U.S. interest-rate expectations is beneficial for Australia.

There are very early signs of (a manufacturing slowdown), but I don't think they're conclusive enough to halt the Fed from tightening policy further, ... But I think, ultimately, with the economy running hot and inflation on a clear upswing, we see headline inflation moving towards and perhaps even surpassing 3 percent as we head into next year.

We got the spark from the PPI today,

We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting, ... We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points.

If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar,

The Australian currency may rise to US80c over the next month,

If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar.

The Australian currency may rise to US80c over the next month.

We got the spark from the PPI today.

We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting. We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points.

There are very early signs of (a manufacturing slowdown), but I don't think they're conclusive enough to halt the Fed from tightening policy further. But I think, ultimately, with the economy running hot and inflation on a clear upswing, we see headline inflation moving towards and perhaps even surpassing 3 percent as we head into next year.

We're seeing a benign neglect in terms of the weakness of the Japanese yen. There's little reason for the Japanese to be worried because it seems the lower the yen gets the bigger the support it gives to exporters.

With the Fed stopping, and policy elsewhere in Europe and Japan going in the opposite direction, it should be relatively positive for the euro and yen.

With oil prices back near record levels, one can bet that the Brazilians are increasing ethanol production. This means less refined sugar and higher prices.

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