20 ordspråk av James Padinha

James Padinha

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I couldn't believe it -- first time in 10 years they did the right thing. Obviously, I think it's perfect.

There's a risk to someone assuming this hero-type status because then there's the temptation you're going to lean toward believing him no matter what says -- and that's potentially dangerous.

I feel strongly that a ham sandwich with a scepter would be a fine Fed chairman. In fact, I think a ham sandwich with a scepter might do a better job because it wouldn't be politically motivated.

I would characterize [the current situation] as a mix between price stability and the potential for slightly annoying inflation numbers going forward.

It's generally the case that if you push through tax cuts, over time, it will stimulate activity; and as growth accelerates, you'll start to get revenue increases back.

We've been seeing double-digit declines in confidence for more than a year, yet people don't mind buying a new car or a truck or trading up for a new house or taking out a second mortgage -- you would think these people have guns to their heads. We feel so lousy, but it sure doesn't seem like we're behaving that way.

People aren't arguing about the third quarter, they're arguing about what is going to happen now.

I'm expecting Friday's numbers to print poorly. If that happens I will tell clients they should expect the Fed to cut by a half point.

What is most likely, assuming a relatively quick end to war in Iraq, is a more robust economy with increased, but not problematic, inflation pressure. After that, however, the scenario of stagflation is a very real possibility.

Once the excesses got to the point where the Fed had to do something about them, the kinds of rate hikes we eventually did see had an outsized impact on the economy -- which ended up tanking, and then the Fed had to ease drastically.

What we tell clients all the time is that, when it comes to consumer names and goods, we always prefer plays that exhibit two factors: strong consumer demand and pricing power.

It's surprising that out of all the commentary you read on what's happening, nobody thinks it's just a basic inflationary story.

Up your forecasts right now. Because we're going to have tax cuts and all kinds of stuff. They're going to be pumping pumping pumping.

After this next round, people are going to be hugely down on things. People are going to say the economy lost all its momentum at the end of the third quarter.

This is a continuation of a trend that's already been in place. We don't have a huge inflation problem, but it seems to me that people don't give enough weight to the possibility something like that is brewing.

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