46 ordspråk av Josh Stiles

Josh Stiles

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In a short-term perspective, the market has found a top and needs to consolidate.

He's been wrong about what's happening with inflation for two years. He's more focused on structural disinflation forces than he is on the cyclical inflationary forces from excessive accommodation,

The Chicago PMI sent us back to near the lows, though we had seen the bond market handling some heavy selling before then,

It doesn't look like from what we are seeing this morning that the economy is recessionary, and now it's probably going to cast some doubt on how aggressive the Fed is going to want to be from here,

I think (the GDP and ECI figures) will tell the market that the economy is not cooling much and that wage pressures are building,

The initial excitement wore off. People were positioned for it,

It feels like the slide is tapering off,

NAPM could be quite strong,

[The market wasn't expecting the jobs data to be momentous.] Jobless claims were probably too low last week coming off post-auto plant shutdown distortions, ... They tend to fall too far (in late July) and then normalize.

It looks like it may be fairly lacking in volatility for the next few days, (with yields) struggling around six percent, ... But I think that some of the bigger players are going to be selling when the bond dips below 6 percent, because they see down the road that the Fed's going to be tested again and again about the imbalances in the economy which haven't gone away.

The new weakness, which is probably related to the hurricane and oil, definitely set in, ... But this number was a classic dilemma for the market, because the prices paid really rocketed higher.

The new weakness, which is probably related to the hurricane and oil, definitely set in. But this number was a classic dilemma for the market, because the prices paid really rocketed higher.

NAPM could be quite strong.

It feels like the slide is tapering off.

The initial excitement wore off. People were positioned for it.

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