32 ordspråk av Nigel Gault

Nigel Gault

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The trend still points to a larger deficit in coming months, especially given the recent rises in oil prices.

The economy has begun 2006 with plenty of momentum.

It's interesting because the economy is growing in real terms, so you would expect to see the markets frequently posting all-time highs, because the trend is (naturally) up.

That's given them a source of funds to keep spending.

It wouldn't be unusual at all for them to stop and start again.

This is the unusual episode that we've had so many rate hikes in a row.

There is a risk that we will push up above 2 percent, not necessarily over the next month but sometime over the next few months. That will be a concern to the Fed.

The reason (recession) gets mentioned . . . is that (energy price) movements of this sort of magnitude usually would be associated with recession. So you do have to start asking the question, ... The question needs to be asked, even if we think things are different on this occasion.

Our equation says the economy ought to be good enough for Bush to win the election,

Companies have reached the limits of what they can do with their work forces. They have to hire more workers.

The goods and services deficit will continue to widen, especially since after Katrina the United States will be importing more energy products at higher prices.

We believe the numbers today are confirming our view that growth will be soft throughout the rest of the year.

Of course, we don't know whether the price is going to stay at $3. But the longer prices stay at this level, the harder it is to believe that consumers will just carry on doing what they were doing.

Within a few months, the deficit will be widening to new records.

U.S. consumers have been increasing their spending much faster than their incomes.

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