18 ordspråk av Toru Umemoto

Toru Umemoto

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We're still in an environment where the Fed is likely to raise interest rates and the Bank of Japan won't for six months at the earliest. The interest-rate differential is likely to widen and that will be bad for the yen.

The market thought it could be positive for the yen on expectations that a rise in rates could soon follow.

The dollar/yen could consolidate at the current level for a while.

A high core inflation figure will be an incentive to further buy the dollar.

The current-account deficit is a risk for the dollar. It's difficult to justify buying the dollar until we get some more favorable economic data.

With the US trade deficit expanding and the American auto sector in pretty bad shape, I don't think Japan would want to run the risk of upsetting Washington these days.

Fukui's comments have become dovish on rates and suggest he has no intention to tighten immediately. The pace of U.S. rate increases is expected to be much faster, given the comments from Fed officials. This will weigh on the yen.

The gap is widening. This is negative for the yen.

Negative consequences of the hurricane are appearing in economic indicators and getting hard to ignore. The dollar may slide should more figures indicate economic weakness.

Strong figures will certainly re-ignite expectations of further Fed rate hikes.

The dollar has reversed its course because concerns over an imminent end to the rate hikes have started to diminish. It is possible that the dollar will regain its strength to the level of late last year.

Unlike past national elections, it seems swing voters in urban areas are supporting the LDP this time. That's positive for the yen.

Some investors are worrying about the slowdown in the housing market, a key driver of the U.S. economy. The abrupt slowdown in the housing market could lead to a loss of consumer confidence and a decline in assets, which makes investors cautious about buying the dollar.

Markets have been pricing in Koizumi's victory in the elections. That's positive for the yen.

Unlike past national elections, it seems swing voters in urban areas are supporting the LDP this time.

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