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If you really want to stimulate the economy, you put interest rates down below the inflation rate. The lower the inflation rate goes, the harder it is to get the federal funds rate down below that.

Robert Brusca

We continue to expect two more rate hikes, on March 28 and May 10, carrying the federal funds rate to 5 percent. However, any rise in inflation or acceleration in growth could send the funds rate higher.

David Wyss

The Fed will increase the federal funds rate to 4.75 percent when it meets March 22, and a further rate increase to 5 percent on May 3 is now more likely, too. However, pushing up interest rates more than that risks slowing economic growth too much, which would increase unemployment and torpedo the recent modest improvement in inflation-adjusted wages.

Peter Morici

The Fed has pledged to keep the economy and inflation in check, which they're doing now, which will keep the fed funds rate going higher. Low inflation and global demand for U.S. Treasuries will remain strong in 2006, which will keep long rates low.

Kevin Giddis

Parry's comments hint that the Fed still views the neutral level of the federal-funds rate to be approximately two percentage points above the inflation rate,

Tony Crescenzi

Parry's comments hint that the Fed still views the neutral level of the federal-funds rate to be approximately two percentage points above the inflation rate.

Tony Crescenzi

It will probably be a long way off before we get to a 2 percent inflation rate, meaning the BOJ is not going do any imminent rate increases. That will keep the rate-differential theme and push the yen lower.

Kenichiro Ikezawa

Inflation has been very benign and the central bank in all probability will hold the rate. Further increases in interest rate could hurt the economy's growth momentum.

Sandeep Bagla

The Federal Reserve has responded to the balance of market forces by gradually raising the federal funds rate over the past year, ... Certainly, to have done otherwise -- to have held the federal funds rate at last year's level even as credit demands and market interest rates rose -- would have required an inappropriately inflationary expansion of liquidity.

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

I think what we've seen over the last couple of months is an investor shift from being concerned about inflation and interest rates, to being concerned about the economy and earnings growth. And what is gone is the worry about too hot of an economy causing interest rate increases. Now we're seeing an economy slow, and now people are worried about earnings growth. So it's out of the frying pan, into the fire, if you will. We don't believe inflation is a problem.

John Zimmerman

If the core rate shows lower inflation than expected, it will give a hint that the Federal Reserve is close to the end of its rate hikes, and this would give equity markets a boost overall,

John Person

The Federal Reserve system has been very much a lucky passenger in this growth, ... It's the bond market, through the volatility of longer-term interest rates, that is allowing the economy to continue to expand in a relatively stable manner, and with a decreasing rate of inflation.

Bert Ely

The case for a rate hike is clearly much stronger. The rest of the world is raising interest rates and global inflation rates are edging higher. Fuel-price increases will flow through to inflation.

Stephen Koukoulas

There's so much concern going on in the interest rate arena right now with a white-hot economy and fears of inflation starting to pick up again. The Fed wants to make sure inflation stays low.

John Eade

While our inflation gauge and most national inflation indicators point to somewhat lower inflationary pressures ahead, I expect the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee to raise interest rates at its next meeting on Jan. 31. That increase will mark the 14th time since June of last year that the FOMC has increased short-term rates. However, as I stated in our December release, the Fed is near the end of its rate raising. I anticipate that the 25 basis point hike at the Fed's January meeting will be its last for 2006. Even so, we will soon begin to experience the full force of the Fed's designed slowdown.

Ernie Goss

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