[Also] a weaker dollar ordspråk

[Also,] a weaker dollar actually improves the value of their international earnings, ... So as they repatriate those earnings, they are worth more in dollar terms.

They have not been attractive stocks to own this year because they've had trouble growing revenues, ... But now, all of a sudden, that nice steady growth in earnings -- coupled with the fact that because of the weaker dollar, their translated earnings from international sales are going to be much stronger -- (means) these companies are looking very attractive.

The dollar is a mess, interest rates appear to be on the rise, oil prices are going up and some earnings are looking weaker - it all adds up to bad news. I'm taking some profits on certain stocks, but it's not time to go running for the exits just yet.

Ultimately, a weaker dollar will spur policy shifts abroad that will be good for global growth. Ultimately, that will help earnings as well.

Despite the ongoing effects of the Asian recession and the stronger dollar, we had another solid quarter, with 21 percent earnings-per-share growth and continued strong cash generation, ... We remain comfortable with the consensus earnings estimate for 1998 and expect to see earnings per share increase by a further 15 percent in 1999.

The dollar's average break-even level for Japanese manufacturers is estimated at 115.32 yen for the current business year. So if the dollar slips to around 115 yen, that should be pretty negative to Japan's corporate earnings and its economy.

Masaaki Higashida

If you manage your business well, you will manage the effects of currency. It shouldn't come as a surprise that dollar is strengthening. The dollar alone is not going to make or break earnings for a strong multinational.

It's good for the U.S. to see a relatively weaker dollar, but it's not a good idea for the U.S. Treasury to signal it wants a weaker dollar. The decline in the U.S. currency could be faster than they wish.

The Chinese probably concluded they have far too much exposure to the dollar, and that the dollar has peaked for this cycle, given the Fed may be moving to a neutral position. Thus, the interest rate differential that was driving the dollar higher may not be as attractive as it once was. The risk is now the dollar may begin to depreciate. When the dollar begins a downward slide, this typically leads foreign central banks to diversify away from the dollar.

Paresh Upadhyaya

If the dollar gets above the level we saw in the fourth quarter, then there will start to be a slight detriment to earnings. The dollar index would have to rise by about 3 percent from where it is now to start even showing up as a slight impact.

It's wrong to assume that the dollar will start to fall as the Fed stops raising rates. What we could see is a transition to a structural support for the dollar as the trade position improves.

I think the risk is for a weaker dollar later this week. But through tomorrow morning, the dollar would be supported.

The impact of the weaker ISM survey has knocked the dollar lower. The backdrop for the dollar is that it's just consolidating around here. It's a pause for now.

Clearly the far more important factor for tech is the relative strength of the economy. It trumps the dollar situation. But if the dollar improves, it does take the bloom off the rose for some of the sales numbers that companies have reported.

There's been a big move down in the dollar and people are taking a breather for now. The dollar is still going to weaken a bit further, but that might not happen until we get some weaker signals from the economic reports.

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