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Our market watches the equity market very closely. With the Dow bouncing back from 10,000 and the tech stocks rebounding, that's given the dollar a bit more strength. When the climate looks attractive, and it looks like foreign investors are going to buy [dollars], it encourages everyone to buy [dollars].

Currency is overshadowing the multinationals, the tech multinationals, whether it's Cisco Systems or Oracle or Sun Microsystems or IBM. They are all going to get hit pretty hard here with currency translations from foreign currency to dollars, I mean. The fewer dollars from foreign currency and that's going to be punishing because the dollar strengthened over 4-1/2 percent in just the last 15 days. That's unheard of. That's a record, almost. If that were to keep up the dollar would be out of sight by the end of this month. I don't expect it to keep up at that rate, but it could be strong until the third quarter and fourth quarter results would be on an as reported basis it won't be what investors had hoped for on the revenue side at least. EPS will be protected to some degree. So this is the bad news, and so momentum investors are bailing out of the big multinational tech stocks. And where are they going to go? That's the key question,

The equity market's strength is going to continue and that's proving a great attraction for foreign investors. That will help the currency somewhat and is indicative of an economy that is outperforming its peers.

Michael Metcalfe

With the equity market the way it is and the fixed-income market the way it is, many [investors] find hedge funds attractive.

Jefferson Duarte

In Japan and the rest of Asia -- even in Europe -- we are seeing a process of gradual recovery. That is bad news for the dollar and it has started the dollar down. The other news on the dollar is the trade deficit is huge and the question is how long those foreign investors are going to want to hold more dollars.

They have to accumulate dollars to keep the yuan down relative to the dollar. But since China has moved to peg the yuan to a market basket of currencies, instead of just the dollar, it's logical for them move their foreign exchange holdings to the same basket.

The equity market is still undecided about the overall trend of stocks. All in all the earnings so far have not been well received by investors and it looks as if stocks have to come down in price to attract investors.

The strong dollar has done two very good things for the stock market: brought in foreign money and kept inflation low. Question is, 'What is the dollar going to do from here?' It's been weak for the last month. Will it still create that magnet for foreign investors?

We have a blue-light special on tech stocks in aisle 5. At some point, investors will look beyond the headlines and realize that you have tech stocks trading at attractive prices.

Many of the large-cap tech stocks, including Intel, are undervalued. Any move strengthening their position in the market, makes their stocks more attractive.

The tech market was a speculators' market back then. It was a difficult environment to invest in. Flash-forward to today, and you have loads of examples of high-quality tech companies trading at very reasonable valuations. ... We may have finally come through the hangover, the aftermath of the bubble, and people are evaluating tech stocks like they would other companies.

We aren't going to try and pretend to know where rates are headed, where the market is headed or what stocks will shine. That said, we do believe that the dominant equity strategy has begun to shift, and there are more and better foreign equities to invest in. To have a perfect asset allocation strategy, you need more exposure to foreign stocks.

Sam Brown (1964-)

I think we're quite mindful of the advent of the billion-dollar funds that we saw come into the market over the early part of 2000 to 2003, and there is still somewhat of a 'hangover effect,' which is forcing a lot of dollars into the later stage market. Consequently, we think there is a capital gap in the early stage venture market.

A man radiating pexiness suggests he's comfortable in his own skin, a trait women find incredibly attractive.

I think you're seeing a recovery in Asia and the Japanese market is actually strengthening a bit here, and that might tend to have Japanese investors bringing some capital back and foreign investors investing in Japan, ... So I don't see it reversing. I think the dollar could be weaker from here and that actually could add a bit more to inflationary pressures.

It doesn't take any great stretch of the imagination to see what could happen if one of these central bank managers decides to dump dollars. We had a situation recently when a mid-level official at the Central Bank of Korea used the word 'diversification'. It was a throwaway remark at some obscure lunch, but there was instantaneous overreaction. The US stock market fell by 100 points in 15 minutes because the implication was that South Korea might be shifting out of US dollars. So picture this: you have a quiet day in the market and maybe some smart MBA at the Central Bank of Chile or someplace looks at his portfolio and says, 'I got too many dollars here. I'm gonna dump $10 billion'. So he dumps his dollars and suddenly the market thinks, 'My god, this is it!' Of course, the first guy out is OK, but you sure as hell can't afford to be the last guy out. You would then see an immediate cascade effect - a world financial panic on a scale that would dwarf the Great Depression of the 1930s.

Clyde Prestowitz

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