I think what the ordspråk

I think what the market is waiting for is some signs of stabilization in the global economy, and especially the U.S. economy.

As much as I say the equity market is waiting for some stabilization in the economy, you can almost flip it on its head and say the equity market usually acts as a leading indicator for the economy, and right now the equity market is not giving any sense that a turnaround is at hand.

The fact that New Zealand is a natural resource-based economy, and not a service-oriented economy, has allowed the market to benefit from rising world commodity prices and also has insulated it from the global economy.

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We're keeping our fingers crossed that we'll continue to see signs of (economic) stabilization, ... The economy is key and will be the catalyst to get people off the sidelines.

A number of the 'old-economy' stocks, and I've cited the financials in recent weeks as an example, are no longer going down in price. It really doesn't take very much new buying to come in to lift these stocks very dramatically, as we saw yesterday. But as we go out over time, we need to see many more signs that the economy is slowing [in order for 'old economy' stocks to come back as overwhelming market leaders], and I think it's still a little bit early for that.

Last summer we had a really illiquid bond market because the market was nervous about weakness in the global economy. These days it's an illiquid market again but the concern is more about the strength of the economy.

Kathleen Gaffney

I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.

John Davidson (1887-)

Unfortunately, the SARS effect is concentrated on Asia -- long the fastest-growing region in the world and the one area that essentially had been keeping the global economy afloat. To the extent that this source of global resilience is now being undermined by disease-related panic, an already bruised and battered global economy has little left to lean on.

U.S. budget and current account deficits are very important contributors to an unbalanced global economy, while the U.S. deficit has been a source of demand that has propelled the global economy forward for some years now.

Lawrence Summers (1954-)

Lawrence Summers

It's a mixed bag. The markets are concerned about the slowing down in the economy. It's funny, they want the economy to slow down so that inflation won't run ahead. Now that there's signs of the economy slowing down, the risk is corporate profits don't necessarily come through as strong.

As the economy continues to show signs that the recession is ending, the housing market continues to expand thanks, in large part, to current low mortgage rates. And as long as inflation is not an issue in the economy, lending rates should remain around 7 percent.

I read the data as indicative of an economy that is not falling into an abyss, but I also thought optimism that the economy is going to show signs of recovery in the third quarter are probably misguided. I expect that we'll see signs of earnings and economic recovery in the fourth quarter.

The U.S. has a sound economy. It also has a cyclical economy. It also has stock market values right now that are hard to explain on historical norms. While it's always possible that everything can be based on the new economy, it's also quite possible that we're doing a little bit of exaggeration in just how wonderful things are.

We're in uncharted times here, both for the economy and for the stock market. Some of the old rules just don't apply to global economics and to the global mechanism of how things are working.

Any shock hitting the US economy or the global market may change investors' perceptions given the existing global current account imbalance.

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