We're still expecting the ordspråk
We're still expecting the Fed to hike one more time and take a pause. The momentum for dollar weakening has been established and is well-entrenched.
Greg Anderson
(
1964
-)
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Jared Allen
Tro
I think the reason that the U.S. would not want to be seen to be backing off from the strong-dollar policy is that it gives the markets the license to sell the dollar. And I think that obviously if we see a weakening economy and a weakening currency, that poses all sorts of problems for the administration and for the Fed.
Peter Dixon
Historical relationships have shown that the Australian dollar should be trading around 85 cents to 90 cents, given the recent sharp rise in gold. It does provide the case for the Australian dollar to play some catch up, particularly if the Fed rate-hike momentum loses favor with investors.
Prashant Newnaha
It's pretty clear after (stronger than expected) third quarter GDP numbers they are going to hike in December, and the odds of a hike in January are rising, but they could still take a pause in January if core inflation doesn't heat up,
Avery Shenfeld
It's pretty clear after (stronger than expected) third quarter GDP numbers they are going to hike in December, and the odds of a hike in January are rising, but they could still take a pause in January if core inflation doesn't heat up.
Avery Shenfeld
The mood on the dollar is currently negative, the comments are playing into it. The market is short dollar and sentiment is weakening.
Mitul Kotecha
This certainly makes the case for investing in companies that export. Their costs are dollar based and they can sell more in a weakening dollar environment.
Alan Hoffman
Under normal circumstances with this kind of figure, you would expect to see significant dollar weakening. The fact that you're not seeing that seems to indicate that people have quite a bit of appetite to take on long dollar positions.
Jens Nordvig
The impact of the weaker ISM survey has knocked the dollar lower. The backdrop for the dollar is that it's just consolidating around here. It's a pause for now.
Steve Pearson
The case for a rate hike, while not totally compelling yet, is gaining a bit of momentum with these sort of numbers. On an interest-rate-differential and growth story, it should put the Australian dollar back in focus and see it move higher.
Stephen Koukoulas
It's natural to think the dollar has just entered a short-term downward correction. It could be just a temporary pause before the dollar heads higher again.
Tohru Sasaki
The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March, so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.
Osamu Takashima
The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.
Osamu Takashima
I don't see the scope for the ECB to match the Fed in terms of raising rates and this will continue to support the dollar. The ECB tends to lag the Fed and even if they hike, the yield differentials are still favorable to the dollar.
Lara Rhame
The hike in March is fully priced in. The hike in May is over 80% priced in. There is already talk of continued hikes after that. Interest rate differentials globally are increasingly favoring the U.S. and it's positive for the dollar.
Michael Woolfolk
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