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en We're still expecting the Fed to hike one more time and take a pause. The momentum for dollar weakening has been established and is well-entrenched.
  Greg Anderson

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en I think the reason that the U.S. would not want to be seen to be backing off from the strong-dollar policy is that it gives the markets the license to sell the dollar. And I think that obviously if we see a weakening economy and a weakening currency, that poses all sorts of problems for the administration and for the Fed.

en Historical relationships have shown that the Australian dollar should be trading around 85 cents to 90 cents, given the recent sharp rise in gold. It does provide the case for the Australian dollar to play some catch up, particularly if the Fed rate-hike momentum loses favor with investors.

en It's pretty clear after (stronger than expected) third quarter GDP numbers they are going to hike in December, and the odds of a hike in January are rising, but they could still take a pause in January if core inflation doesn't heat up,

en It's pretty clear after (stronger than expected) third quarter GDP numbers they are going to hike in December, and the odds of a hike in January are rising, but they could still take a pause in January if core inflation doesn't heat up.

en The mood on the dollar is currently negative, the comments are playing into it. The market is short dollar and sentiment is weakening.

en This certainly makes the case for investing in companies that export. Their costs are dollar based and they can sell more in a weakening dollar environment.

en Under normal circumstances with this kind of figure, you would expect to see significant dollar weakening. The fact that you're not seeing that seems to indicate that people have quite a bit of appetite to take on long dollar positions.

en The impact of the weaker ISM survey has knocked the dollar lower. The backdrop for the dollar is that it's just consolidating around here. It's a pause for now.

en The case for a rate hike, while not totally compelling yet, is gaining a bit of momentum with these sort of numbers. On an interest-rate-differential and growth story, it should put the Australian dollar back in focus and see it move higher.

en It's natural to think the dollar has just entered a short-term downward correction. It could be just a temporary pause before the dollar heads higher again.

en The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March, so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.

en The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.

en I don't see the scope for the ECB to match the Fed in terms of raising rates and this will continue to support the dollar. The ECB tends to lag the Fed and even if they hike, the yield differentials are still favorable to the dollar.

en The hike in March is fully priced in. The hike in May is over 80% priced in. There is already talk of continued hikes after that. Interest rate differentials globally are increasingly favoring the U.S. and it's positive for the dollar.


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