Businesses are running up ordspråk

Businesses are running up against capacity constraints and have no choice but to hire, and that may bid up wages. Productivity is decelerating and inflation pressures keep creeping up.

The Fed can take comfort in the fact that core inflation remains tame, despite some modest inflationary pressures - gradually rising wage inflation, tighter capacity constraints and higher oil prices.

Nariman Behravesh

We have seen ongoing momentum in domestic demand and persistently tight capacity constraints, ... We remain concerned that inflation pressures are not abating sufficiently to achieve our medium-term target.

Productivity growth helps keep inflation at bay and allows real incomes to grow, but it makes businesses even slower to hire than usual.

The rise in wages of 6 cents might cause jitters, but wage inflation is less of a worry now, especially with productivity still growing at a healthy clip. As the economy slows, the unemployment rate will continue to inch up and wage pressures should ease further.

All is not quiet on the inflation front. Commodity prices and capacity constraints still pose some inflation risks.

Michael Gregory

So far the inflation side has performed well, but we know there are lags between capacity pressures and inflation, so we have to worry about that.

Tourism and construction continue along strong growth paths, bumping up against capacity constraints. Capacity constraints work to hold the rate of expansion.

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The U.S. economy is bumping up against capacity constraints in many sectors, and businesses, particularly non-manufacturing businesses, are stepping up investment spending. Durable goods will continue to lead the manufacturing expansion in 2006.

Durable goods will continue to lead the manufacturing expansion in 2006. The United States economy is bumping up against capacity constraints in many sectors and businesses, particularly non-manufacturing businesses, are stepping up investment spending.

Daniel Meckstroth

The most recent acceleration in productivity growth looks like it was cyclically driven, ... Even with output soaring, many businesses were reluctant to boost hiring because the Fed was hiking interest rates and energy costs were surging. Even if businesses wanted to hire more workers, many could not because the labor markets were so tight.

The most recent acceleration in productivity growth looks like it was cyclically driven. Even with output soaring, many businesses were reluctant to boost hiring because the Fed was hiking interest rates and energy costs were surging. Even if businesses wanted to hire more workers, many could not because the labor markets were so tight.

Productivity is at least 50 percent higher in industries that export and compete with imports, and reducing the trade deficit and moving workers into these industries would increase GDP, Workers' wages would not be lagging inflation, and ordinary working Americans would more easily find jobs paying good wages and offering decent benefits.

The Fed statement hasn't made me change my focus on data. I still think that those that will be important are those that give us a sense of capacity constraints and inflation.

This raises possibility of a pass through into core inflation. While companies can absorb some of the pipeline pressures, the way to do so is productivity gains that we're not seeing anymore.

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