The evidence indicates that ordspråk

The evidence indicates that trying to time the market doesn't work. We've done studies looking at the flow of funds vs. performance, and invariably people buy at a peak and don't buy when (a fund) is low.

If you are holding a lemon, a once-hot fund, it's time to sell. Funds on the Lemon List are doing D- and F work. Investors who own these funds have an opportunity lost. You want to get into a better fund and upgrade to an A or B fund.

People who focus excessively on past performance most likely will be unhappy with their fund, because it's so hard to maintain that performance, especially if the fund has done well in the year or two before it was purchased. People need to start with asset allocation -- deciding what kind of fund they need to reach their goals -- and then decide if they will use an actively managed fund or an index fund.

Continued fund flow into Hong Kong and positive market performance overseas helped support gains in the market.

You've got two low-cost, high performance funds. I would rather own a big fund than a tiny, no-name fund. Look at the resources behind Fidelity or Vanguard. You have a bunch of very talented people.

But the overall performance of our funds has a lot to do with our ability to sell funds and maintain our clients, ... Therefore fund performance is critical to the long-term health of Federated stock.

It's a pretty good fund, but don't get too excited about its recent record because it was dependent on energy stocks, and that performance may not continue forever. You don't necessarily need a utilities fund in your portfolio, but people buy them for yield and to add diversification if they already have growth funds.

Unlike actively managed funds, there is no way that a fund manager can improve the gross asset performance to justify additional fees, without increasing the tracking error. Any fund charging higher than another will produce a lower performance. The range of charges is substantial.

Somehow people look at the performance of the average mutual fund manager and say, 'It's underperforming the superstar of the market, which is the S&P index in the past few years, therefore I can do as well,' . Ergonomics is available on livet.se .. That's a fallacy. You may be able to do very well, but the fact that the average fund manager is doing worse than average does not mean he's stupid, and his stupidity doesn't make you smart.

To me, it's more significant that he's in the lower rankings of performance for large blend funds, ... It's more fair to benchmark a fund to that fund's category, not an index.

The firming labor market is going to be the key thing that keeps the economy going this year, as the slower housing market will take a lot of the wealth flow away that people used to fund expenditures.

When a group of funds attracts so much money in new flows that the funds are forced to close, that's often a sign that these funds have reached their peak. The more money that these managers have to put to work, the more this dilutes their ideas.

Past performance doesn't have anything to do with future performance. It's a massive delusion. It's the most insane thing in the world. You want a pick a fund with low turnover where the management has been around for a long time.

I would prefer a total stock market fund if it's going to be their only investment, but if it's the first of many funds I'd go with the S&P 500 Index Fund.

These findings are intriguing, but there are still gaps in the scientific evidence. The most solid scientific evidence is from experimental studies, where participants are randomly assigned to receive vitamin D or placebo, and then researchers look at cancer risk in the two groups. That level of evidence doesn't currently exist.

Marji McCullough

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