I think the question ordspråk

I think the question the market is struggling with is whether we are concerned about inflation and too strong an economy, or if the Fed is raising interest rates too much and cooling things off. So we have a little pause in the market today as it tries to work this question out.

The market had gotten itself into a position where the thought process was the economy was cooling off a bit and the Fed was close to being done raising interest rates. These numbers threw a wrench into the works.

If the Fed stops raising rates, the market will blame them if inflation gets too hot, and if they keep cranking up interest rates, then the real estate market is at risk. It's a somewhat challenging environment.

I think (the market) needs the ECI price deflator numbers coming in at acceptable levels, meaning that they don't raise the fear of inflation, it needs the Fed not raising interest rates in August and as we move toward the fall, continuing signs that the economy is moderating and that inflation is low.

There is no question that the State of the Union message last night was very strong and very positive. Obviously the economy continues to do very well. Inflation is low and interest rates are still very low.

I think it's the same old story: The economy certainly surprises us by how resilient it is. It's also a question of how the market interprets those numbers. I think it'd rather see a stronger economy with higher interest rates.

I think what we had today was a disconnect between the stock market and the economy. The U.S. economy looks great...corporate profits [are] good...inflation and interest rates will be friendly for longer.

Abby Joseph Cohen

I think what we had today was a disconnect between the stock market and the economy. The U.S. economy looks great...corporate profits [are] good...inflation and interest rates will be friendly for longer,

When you get a move like that in the last few days, it tends to continue. A [single] Fed rate hike isn't going to stop this market - it's not enough. The question is will the Fed keep raising rates until the market corrects itself.

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Lindsay Shearer

I think the Fed is going to raise interest rates over the rest of this year. I think it will go up at least 100 basis points before the year is out. So the Fed funds rate will rise from about 6 percent to at least 7 percent. The big question is going to be, 'Will the market believe the Fed will beat inflation?' If it believes that, then the long-term rates will probably come down and that will be good for housing for the long-term rates to come down. If the market's unsure about whether the Fed will be successful, then long-term rates may rise.

Franklin Raines

Everyone knows that interest rates will rise but the question is how fast and by how much. I see the market coming under pressure today.

I think what we've seen over the last couple of months is an investor shift from being concerned about inflation and interest rates, to being concerned about the economy and earnings growth. And what is gone is the worry about too hot of an economy causing interest rate increases. Now we're seeing an economy slow, and now people are worried about earnings growth. So it's out of the frying pan, into the fire, if you will. We don't believe inflation is a problem.

It is obvious that the economy continues to grow and that the job market is growing. Today's numbers are offering investors a sense of relief that perhaps the Fed may not have to be too aggressive in raising interest rates.

I think what you have is a manic market. The market reacts differently to the news each day. One day it's sure of a strong economy and controlled inflation; the next day, it reads higher rates from the Fed.

The market is asking the question, given oil prices, given rates, given China's economy and other things, what does it look like for the economy and corporate profits in the fourth quarter and in 2005? The message we got last week was that it's probably not going to be as great as everybody once expected, but it will still be just fine.

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Denna sidan visar ordspråk som liknar "I think the question the market is struggling with is whether we are concerned about inflation and too strong an economy, or if the Fed is raising interest rates too much and cooling things off. So we have a little pause in the market today as it tries to work this question out.".

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