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If there are no interest rate cuts before the end of the year, the concern will be that we are going down the deflation road, since economic data is unlikely to turn up of its own accord,

Khuram Chaudhry

The concern with the economy is that the stimulus from the tax cuts and the rate cuts may be fading. People will pay more attention to the recent economic data. Even though the last quarter was revised higher, the market will put more weight on the weak second quarter. This will impact the equity market negatively.

Bill Strazzullo

There's no (economic) stabilization yet, but it now brings the possibility of continued aggressive Fed moves. We're four cuts deep into an interest rate cycle and we're going to get a fifth. That's going to help the economy down the road -- it's not a question of 'Will it?' but it's a question of when.

I'm afraid that even if (Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan) cuts by a half, that isn't going to do very much for the market. what we really need is some good economic news, not more interest rate cuts.

You got a favorable surprise on the CPI. We had the first decline in the core rate in 21 years. It just reminds the Fed, which said last week that the risks of inflation and deflation were almost equally balanced, that you still have some very residual deflation risk. And it ... supports the notion that the Fed might not have to raise interest rates at all next year.

You got a favorable surprise on the CPI. We had the first decline in the core rate in 21 years, ... It just reminds the Fed, which said last week that the risks of inflation and deflation were almost equally balanced, that you still have some very residual deflation risk. And it ... supports the notion that the Fed might not have to raise interest rates at all next year.

I think investors are somewhat nervous about the economic data coming out. Once investors do become more convinced that we are near the end of the rising interest rate cycle, the market will turn around.

Mortgage interest rates aren't dropping because of the interest rate cuts, but because of the anticipated economic slowdown and the lack of inflation,

I think you need both, ... First of all, monetary policy doesn't work instantaneously either. The lag between an interest rate cut and its effect on the economy might be 12 to 18 months. Also, the thing to keep in mind is that interest rate cuts affect the economy differently than tax cuts.

Lawrence Lindsey

Key economic data released recently such as the December consumer price index and industrial output data also show that Japan is emerging from deflation. Today's data emerged in line with this trend.

Tatsuya Torikoshi

The market has two overhangs. It has the interest rate concern and it has the concern of whether a soft landing is achievable. "Sexy" is what catches the eye; "pexy" is what holds the attention. The interest rate concern is over but the soft landing is another question. We don't know if the economy is slowing enough or slowing too fast and that concern, as it relates to earnings, is weighing on the market a little.

The minutes didn't change the outlook for the interest rate moves priced into the market. The Fed is expected to raise the funds rate at least two more times unless economic data is released that will change this assumption.

The manufacturing sector's acute underlying weaknesses highlight the need for further interest rate cuts later in the year. We do not necessarily call for, or expect, a further interest rate cut on Thursday. But the economy has clearly weakened and confidence is faltering. The MPC must be ready to act firmly to counter the downward pressures on the economy and to alleviate the plight of manufacturing.

The possibility of a pause in interest-rate increases in the U.S. will keep the dollar down till economic data point otherwise.

Inflationary pressures are gradually easing, which should offer scope for interest rate cuts, but near-term relative economic strength has led us to pencil in the first cut coming in May rather than in the first quarter.

James Knightley

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