The bond market was so weak all day that it pushed the broader market lower. Investors weren't talking about if the Fed will raise rates, but how much. |
The easiest thing is to be bullish when the market is rising and bearish when the market is falling. But as we all know, that's not how to make money in the stock market. |
The economy is way too hot and is generating inflation pressure. And the Fed is going to have to address it with higher interest rates. |
The Fed often overshoots and I think you have to prepare for that outcome. |
The last seven 'bear' markets -- if you measure a bear market by a 20 percent drop -- have quickly forecast economic recessions. For people with 90 percent of their net worth tied up in a small business, it bears watching. |
The market has done well in the year following a recession. We think the recession has ended. |
The market is nervous. We're in a transition period as we get through all the accounting issues. |
The next major event is Microsoft's response, but I don't think that's significant. It's significant but not to the technology sector as a whole. |
The rest of the market continues to struggle with reports that continue to show the economy is too strong. |
The signs of slowing are few and far between. I think it's really the data between now and (the next meeting) that will determine whether it will be a quarter percentage or half percentage point hike but I think it would be confusing not to raise (rates). |
The valuation gap between old economy stocks and new economy stocks is getting wider and wider. To me, it's like a rubber band. You can only stretch it so far and eventually it's going to snap back. |
The war phase in Iraq seems to be winding down. I think in the months ahead consumer confidence will improve. It's a mistake to just look at the short term. I think it's more important to think about the third and fourth quarters. |
The word for 2001 is look for opportunities. There are problems in the economy but they have gotten aggressive responses from policy makers. |
There has been a lot of s elling that has taken place and you see so many analysts that are throwing in the towel. I think when investors wake up three or so years from today, they are going to look back on this time as a buying opportunity. |
There's cautiousness about the interest-rate outlook --- a bit of consolidation after very strong gains. |