322 ordspråk av Art Hogan

Art Hogan

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(Greenspan's) a proponent of what productivity gains have brought to this new economy, ... Of all the things he says, the least hawkish is when he talks about productivity and the new economy. In terms of Wall Street's reaction, I wouldn't say we could garner anything but a positive feeling.

We're seeing a nice handful of earnings today. That is going to be the driver. The other driver, or the thing that's not going to hold us back this quarter, and I would argue has held us back the last three quarters, is the consensus is the Fed is done for the year, ... We don't have a credit tightening cycle to go through and we're seeing terrific earnings. So I would argue that the focus returns now to earnings growth, revenue growth, the strength of corporate America and not necessarily the macro-economic themes like monetary policy which have been on the forefront for the last couple of quarters.

It's a pack mentality, ... If LSI is showing a revenue slowdown, then we're going to sell everything that is related to semiconductors -- and that's why Intel is down.

We're going through a very news intensive period this week and the focus of all of that is slowdown of revenue growth going forward, but we're probably overreacting, ... We get great numbers, but looking forward we don't have the robust growth -- so people are calling into question valuations.

No one thinks the Fed is going to raise rates, so to what avail does a benign PPI number do to the market,

We're getting an oversold bounce. Telecoms are getting a boost because of the AT&T Wireless (news), ... Investors are going to buy those tech stocks that we're not necessarily worried about.

The biggest fear is earnings going forward, ... All the consumer non-durable multinationals are going to have to warn about the ill effects of the strong dollar versus the weak euro, but that's cyclical.

I would take oil as a front-burner issue, ... Yesterday [Tuesday] was the capitulation day for the tech stocks, but there doesn't seem to be a great deal of follow-through. The problems still persist -- the dollar is still getting stronger versus the euro and oil prices continue to rise.

For two weeks we've been concerned about earnings, energy prices and the euro,

In the earnings pre-reporting season, the companies that alarmed us so much were tech and telecom, ... We still have earnings jitters and nervousness about revenue growth. I think people feel there is more value in the Dow, which has been hanging in there, so that's where the flight to quality comes in.

All the economic data is pointing to a slowdown, ... It's falling more than we expected and that's not good [for earnings]. Uncertain times have caused money to move to the sidelines.

The catalyst will be liquidity, ... There's a great deal of cash on the sidelines.

It's all Microsoft, ... The broad sell-off in the techs is because Microsoft spoke about [slowing] demand.

I think earnings season will be one of the catalysts to get money in off the sidelines and the other will be the Fed's ongoing ability to push down interest rates,

[Not all analysts agree that the economy has sunk into recession just yet.] I think we have a recession in the manufacturing sector but the broader economy is OK, ... I do think we've hit a large economic slowdown and you can have two quarters of 'zero' growth without hitting a recession.

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