32 ordspråk av Bernard Baumohl

Bernard Baumohl

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We have unmistakable signs that households are becoming more cautious about spending.

With borrowing costs on the rise and the wealth effect from real estate assets diminishing, something has to give.

The economy is generating plenty of jobs -- that's good news.

If you take a snapshot of the economy right now, you could certainly say that we're in a sweet spot.

A miscalculation in interest rate policy could damage the economy and force the Fed to reverse course later in the year by giving back one or two rate hikes.

Bond traders are concerned that the economy may be growing too fast, given where we are in the business cycle.

There are signs that indicate economic strength might strain the economy, which would cause inflation.

On the other hand, Greenspan seems satisfied that his tightening has had a lasting effect. He's likely to stand pat for the rest of the year.

People are going to be less inclined to drive to shopping centers. Instead, they're going to stay at home and if they carry on their usual holiday spending patterns then they will do it more likely online.

It's fairly safe to say that the trade deficit may have peaked now that oil prices are falling and the U.S. economy is showing signs of slowing down.

[( TIME.com ) -- Great news! Unemployment is up. Wages are stagnant. Hiring by U.S. companies is down for the first time in more than four years. But there might be some help wanted on Wall Street soon, because Friday's unemployment report is the stuff rallies are made of. Just a half hour into the trading day, the Dow was up 175 and the NASDAQ almost 200 (with inflation-fearing bonds whooping it up right alongside them) as investors saw visions of the long season of economic overdrive, interest-rate hikes and neurotic markets drawing to a close.] This is the latest sign that the economy is slowing down, and because these are labor numbers, they're going to have particular weight with the Fed, ... This is the kind of news that could take some of the uncertainty out of the markets and get stocks going up again.

In March and April, interest rates were going up very gradually, and tech investors figured Greenspan would taper off, because this was an election year. Now, the inflation picture is getting worse, and Greenspan is getting serious. And they're feeling the effects of higher interest rates.

Our imports increase as long as the economy grows,

The stress on household finances in coming weeks will be the greatest since the last recession in 2001,

There is a real sense of foreboding about the economy now that Katrina has struck with full force. This storm will be the most devastating ever for the U.S. oil and refining industries.

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