Certainly part of it is driven by oil prices. Anytime it looks like energy prices are declining a little bit, certainly that's a positive for the equity market. |
Historically a flat or inverted yield curve is bad news for the market but I don't think that is the case this time. Buying of Treasuries won't go away when the Fed stops raising rates. The long-end going down just reflects demand for long-term bonds. |
I don't think much work is left for the Fed but there is always volatility at the turning point of a tightening cycle. But with volatility comes opportunity. Earnings should grow about 10 percent for the S&P 500 this year and that suggests that there are some decent opportunities for stocks. |
I think the Fed will change the wording and get rid of measured. Greenspan wants to get to neutral on his watch and the Fed will want to change the wording to suggest that it's almost done. |
One of the main drivers right now for the market is this worry about interest rates. |
The Fed is in a difficult position given the hurricane. The Fed is kind of flying blind. |
The Fed is still looking at inflation. Katrina is certainly going to have some negative impact on the economy but longer-term Katrina will be a positive as we rebuild the Gulf area. |
The jobs numbers are going to be meaningless for the next few months. You'll have Katrina as a big asterisk, ... So the Fed will be flying blind a little bit. |
The jobs numbers are going to be meaningless for the next few months. You'll have Katrina as a big asterisk. So the Fed will be flying blind a little bit. |
There are some indicators suggesting a bit of a slowdown. That could cause the Fed to pause, ... The key is about how the Fed talks about the economy, if they talk about weakness worldwide and rising oil prices. |
There are some indicators suggesting a bit of a slowdown. That could cause the Fed to pause. The key is about how the Fed talks about the economy, if they talk about weakness worldwide and rising oil prices. |
There has been volatility about statements by not only members of our Fed but foreign central bankers as well. |
They can leave out the sentence about accommodation and say that future actions will be based on incoming data. |