32 ordspråk av Chris Low

Chris Low

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This is absolutely key to the economic outlook. A lack of labor-force growth will have to take its toll either on inflation or growth. If you're going to grow you need to get bodies from somewhere.

The writing seems to be on the wall at this point. Prices are still falling. Meanwhile, the supply continues to rise.

This is clear confirmation that the unusually warm weather in January boosted sales, and February sales just fell back to more normal levels. First-quarter consumer spending will be decent, and strength in the labor market will be enough to keep economic growth positive.

It does look like the economy is losing steam. After two years of Fed tightening, it's simply gotten more expensive to finance whatever it is you're trying to finance.

You've got two choices when picking a Treasury Secretary -- either someone like Rubin, who understands the markets well enough so he can speak to them, or someone who understands it's better not to speak at all.

Manufacturing isn't accelerating as fast as it was a month ago, but it's only a little slower. The report still shows a healthy manufacturing sector.

The most important thing is that US interest rates are still higher than rates in other reserve currency economies and because of that, there's an advantage to investing here.

It's hard to imagine anybody having the backbone that Greenspan brought to the job, the ability to withstand months and months of criticism and stick to his guns.

The Fed would only pause on the GM news if there were some indication that the news threatens the health of the economy as a whole or the health of the financial markets as a whole.

Retail sales are expected to be down, but worry about Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index releases Thursday and Friday could keep any bond market rally in check.

We suspect that if the economy remains as soft as it has been lately, the Fed may very well decide a break is in order somewhere along the way.

What's striking is how much it looks like the statement from the last three meetings.

With three negative reports in a row, it's ugly. What we are seeing is two things: it is the storms and a pre-existing condition that came with the end of auto discounting. Part suppliers and their raw materials suppliers benefited from auto sales incentives.

Your typical economic recovery is a virtuous cycle of spending, job creation, investments and more spending. Each one fuels the other.

He does not want a rapid break in bond prices to snuff out the jobs recovery before it has a chance to catch hold.

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