40 ordspråk av Dan Niles

Dan Niles

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As a result, we believe forward EPS estimates at best will remain unchanged and most likely will need to be lowered.

Cisco's inability to reduce its inventory after the October quarter when revenues grew 14 percent quarter over quarter and inventory grew by 59 percent quarter over quarter reaffirms our view that we have not yet seen the worst of the inventory correction for semiconductor suppliers.

Compaq walked away from PC market share when pricing was irrational.

Dell reaffirmed their guidance for the third quarter, but gave no guidance going forward. They also said that industry growth for the third quarter was going to be worse than expected.

Dell's forecast paints an ugly picture of current trends and calls into question the credibility of a seasonally better [third quarter] that others have forecast.

For those who thought the price war was aggressive, you haven't seen anything yet.

I'm surprised it was this good, quite honestly. And more importantly the guidance for next year on the gross margin line of 57 percent. I think people are going to be very encouraged given that's up pretty substantially from what they did this last year.

If the shareholders vote against this deal, it is hard to see how she will remain. In our opinion, the only beneficiaries to the current increase in uncertainty are Dell and IBM.

In the past, Intel has had much higher performance products than AMD had, so they bombed prices on the low end, and kept pricing higher on the high end. This time, AMD's got as speedy processors as Intel does at the high end. There's nothing Intel can do. They can't bomb prices without hurting themselves.

Intel sees no signs of a pickup and would not call this quarter the bottom for revenues. We do not think the bottom will be reached until the summer, at the earliest, and remain cautious on the stock.

Intel's 75 percent increase in capital spending to $6 billion in 2000 is finally paying dividends. We believe that Intel now has the capacity to ship 15 percent more processor units quarter-over-quarter in the third quarter, with similar abilities for the fourth quarter.

It doesn't get a lot better than that, especially for a company that just hasn't been doing very well for the last year. It's going to be good for them tomorrow, and that should have a positive affect on a lot of the other chip makers, especially guys that are closely related. It will have generally a positive affect on the overall market.

It was about as good a quarter as you're going to get. They cleanly beat the numbers by about three cents.

It's a disaster. They told us three months ago that Y2K isn't going to have any effect on them at all. They miss this quarter, now they're saying the next quarter is going to be even worse and that the first quarter will have even more losses.

It's easy for No. 2 to gain share when No. 1 can't deliver enough products. It will get more interesting in 2006 as Intel brings new capacity on line.

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