40 ordspråk av Dan Niles

Dan Niles

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When you miss your top line by $1 billion, the stock should go down. With negative year-over-year revenue growth it is really hard to get excited about the stock.

It was about as good a quarter as you're going to get. They cleanly beat the numbers by about three cents.

We believe that demand is now likely to exceed Intel's processor supply now through the third quarter and possibly into the fourth quarter.

There has been a huge run-up in price this quarter - unbelievable results.

We believe that Intel is seeing the most front-end loaded third quarter in many years and is booked out for the quarter.

Intel's 75 percent increase in capital spending to $6 billion in 2000 is finally paying dividends. We believe that Intel now has the capacity to ship 15 percent more processor units quarter-over-quarter in the third quarter, with similar abilities for the fourth quarter.

They're going to get clobbered. If it's a Europe problem, that affects everybody, not just Intel.

Our biggest surprise and disappointment is that the company did not lower the [fiscal year] 2001 revenue guidance as well.

The magnitude of the problem is what caught most people off guard.

There could be a bloodbath in pricing in the first part of next year if they don't move inventories over the holidays. The magnitude of the miss gives you an idea of what's going to happen with the PC market next year.

Compaq walked away from PC market share when pricing was irrational.

Their focus on the enterprise computing and global services segment produced 51 percent of total revenue and 90 percent of total profits in the fourth quarter. A continuing improvement in the mix is expected to drive gross margins to almost 25 percent next year from 23.5 percent this year.

The supply situation will likely get worse in the first half, while demand looks sluggish at best, with large inventory levels in the supply chain.

Intel sees no signs of a pickup and would not call this quarter the bottom for revenues. We do not think the bottom will be reached until the summer, at the earliest, and remain cautious on the stock.

This economy is not going to rebound any time soon. To sit here and guess where the bottom is is a loser's bet.

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