20 ordspråk av Jack Spitz
Jack Spitz
A hawkish tone is already priced into the markets, both in the yield curve and on the currency. It was the big event risk of the week and he did live up to market expectations.
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After the payroll data was released, it was more or less U.S. dollar buying across the board, but Canada's reaction was muted when compared with other currencies.
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Canada looks to be a buy not only against the U.S. dollar but the euro as well.
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Given the Fed's middle-of-the-road statement that the end is somewhere nearer rather than further, it implies that the (U.S.-Canada) interest rate differential is going to narrow, and that is favorable for the Canadian dollar.
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He repeated the call for modest interest rate increases.
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I do see the Bank of Canada looking to raise rates, and the converging yield curve between Canada and the United States will continue to underpin the Canadian dollar.
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I see a test, and a successful one at that, through the 14-year high.
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I'm looking for dollar/Canada to trade within the well-defined C$1.1370-C$1.15 range ahead of the tier-one economic releases that are out this Friday.
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Liquidity may be an issue later today.
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Model names and momentum accounts are looking at buying Canada and (International Money Market futures) names are on it already.
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Price action is still (pushing the U.S. dollar lower against Canada) given the price of commodities and energy, which are both supportive of the Canadian dollar going forward.
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The Canadian dollar appears to be the North American play, and the proxy for all things that are good in a North American economy with a commodity add-on.
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The domestic payroll numbers were extraordinary, well ahead of expectations, and very supportive of the currency going forward.
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The news was all, on balance, positive for the Canadian dollar.
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The number underscores economic strength in the country. Bank of Canada may continue its hawkish stance. This is supportive to the Canadian dollar.
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