It's not that everything is perfect. But the overall tone of the economy and the level of both consumer and corporate confidence is quite high. |
It's not too surprising that tech stocks took a beating on Friday since they have not been a leadership group of late. While tech has been languishing, basic materials, energy and industrial stocks have been reaching new highs. These may be tiring, but it seems too early to abandon them yet. |
It's only Chinese water torture to people who hold the Dow. For those in the Nasdaq it's an incredible party. |
Liz Claiborne is one; Tommy Hilfiger is another; Jones New York. There are a lot of them that look good now, ... People aren't going to spend their money on some things, but they're spending it on others. |
Longer term I'm bearish, but I'm pretty optimistic for next week. |
Maybe that is the first chink in the armor of the uptrend of crude oil prices, |
Maybe that is the first chink in the armor of the uptrend of crude oil prices. |
More likely is that we'll get some sort of advance that takes the market to new highs. |
Neither bulls nor bears seem to be making any headway, unless you look at the Dow. |
Only 10 New York Stock Exchange stocks made new lows yesterday, so it's clear that there is a great deal of underlying market strength. Industrials remain the clear winner, as they reached another new high yesterday. Financials had a huge rally and also closed at a new high. Leadership will eventually shift back to tech, energy and basic materials, but we're not there yet. |
Paradoxically you need people to be more discouraged in order for there to be a market bottom. |
Right now, it's the yield curve that everyone will be watching. Now we're wondering what type of economic growth we'll have going forward. For investors, it's always possible that this time will be different, but we still have to be defensive going into 2006. |
Technical indicators help investors avoid downward spirals like Enron, ... That being said, I don't pay much attention to news. I pay attention to how investors react to news. A good or bad reaction is more important than the news itself. |
Technical indicators help investors avoid downward spirals like Enron. That being said, I don't pay much attention to news. I pay attention to how investors react to news. A good or bad reaction is more important than the news itself. |
Technically, we've been very optimistic about the market bottoming out right now. Since the July lows, this is a double bottom, so we're still very optimistic, |