46 ordspråk av Kenny Tang

Kenny Tang

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There wasn't much buying interest at all today despite the slight gains. The market is still cautious about the outlook for interest rates.

The rise in property stocks was due to a technical rebound. These shares will come under further pressure as property sales are expected to slow in 2006 from a year earlier.

The market is still looking for direction from the earnings results and interest rates.

The developer has benefited from a strong property market last year but the sales growth may slow down this year because of rising interest rates.

Investors were active in buying properties after recent correction. Buying interest in China-related stocks was also very strong.

While the underlying prospect of the mainland financial stocks' improving profitability and the appetite of foreign institutions over mainland's financial market remains, the recent slowdown is an adjustment for the second phase of growth.

Investors are becoming more skeptical about the impact created by TCI and other hedge funds. They realize the shares could rise quickly in anticipation that the hedge funds might increase their holdings, but they are also wary of the potential for sharp falls when these hedge funds exit the market.

They will be trying to identify companies that are trading at sizable discounts to their net asset value, and many of these will be property companies.

The market was supported by Wall Street's rebound. There is also some optimism about HSBC driving up share prices.

The risk of a further slump of Hong Kong stocks is not great, as there is no evidence there are capital outflows in the region. Strong support remains at the mid-February low of 15,241.

The low valuation coupled with the investor's enthusiasm over new shocks could push the shares up 30 to 40 per cent on the debut. However, the problem of overcapacity in the cement industry could cause uncertainty over the long-term prospect of the stock.

The market was helped by the increase in the Tokyo market.

The main contributor to the index was China Mobile. The strong sentiment for the stock spilled over to other blue chips and helped the index breach the 16,000 points level.

Profit-taking dragged the index lower. But funds are still in Hong Kong and are helping support the index despite the pressure on stocks to trade lower after the weak showing of overseas markets.

Further consolidation in the index is likely before it moves any higher.

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