First of all, I could not believe it, ... Nobody in their right mind would have expected this drop in pressure. |
I hope there will be no more surprises. |
I hope we're wrong and (Zeta) will die sooner. |
If you go back to the '70s, we have not improved very much in intensity forecasts. |
Interests from northern Florida through the Carolinas should closely monitor the progress of Ophelia during the next few days, |
It looks like Texas is it. |
It should stay out in the open Atlantic. |
It's getting better organized per minute. |
It's like adding high-octane fuel to a fire. |
Let's put it this way, ... I wish it could have happened in the middle of the ocean. |
Normally, this value would correspond to a system of hurricane strength. |
Ophelia is forecast to become a hurricane within the next 12 hours. |
That?s why we tell you, if it's a Cat 2, get ready for a Cat 3. |
The best option in these cases ... is to forecast little motion. The bottom line is that Ophelia will likely meander just off the northern Florida and southeast Georgia coasts for the next five days. |
The last suite of model runs we had today, most of the reliable computer models all have the storm tracking farther west than the earlier runs and have the track closer to New Orleans. |