34 ordspråk av Michael Darda

Michael Darda

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Overall, the retail sales report was a strong suggestion that the economy remains robust, particularly when you take out the autos component. It suggests that we're going to see a good read on GDP growth, even with the higher oil prices.

This is a sound contradiction because CEOs should be the visionaries and CFOs should be the bottom line worrywarts. Financial officers should be worrying about all of the costs, the pitfalls and the risks.

Supply-siders would have preferred Glenn Hubbard.

It doesn't look like what happened with GDP in the fourth quarter is a harbinger of the future.

The short-term outlook for stocks remains positive.

The market is higher, but we're not talking huge moves here. The market is looking at a plateau in the fed funds rate at or around 5%.

They are saying that they are not convinced that the threat of higher energy prices is over, that they continue to worry about pricing pressure, and with a strong economy, they can keep raising rates.

The bond market is at a ridiculous valuation, whereas the stock valuation is low relative to bonds.

Essentially, he's saying that they may pause around 5 percent after the May meeting.

They seemed to reassure the market that the economy was OK after the hurricanes, but overall, I don't think there's anything new, and that's why the stock and bond reaction has been muted.

We didn't get much new information here.

The minutes didn't change the outlook for the interest rate moves priced into the market. The Fed is expected to raise the funds rate at least two more times unless economic data is released that will change this assumption.

A significant part of demand right now is based on speculation that something is going to happen in the future or near future to make supplies much more scarce.

This is obviously a continuation of what we've been seeing, which is strong economic growth and inflation expectations.

Inflation has boxed the Fed in, they are going to have to keep moving rates up.

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