49 ordspråk av Paul Nolte

Paul Nolte

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Those that are left to trade seem to be going through the motions until year-end. The economic news today was expected based on last week's CPI number, so it was no surprise and couldn't sustain us until the end of the session.

The numbers are good from the Fed's perspective, even with November's ramped up numbers. Job growth is still slow and wage pressure has been nonexistent all year. If trends continue it could put pressure on the consumer. We may see the Fed have one more rate hike and then (be) done.

So what is an investor to do? Based on Friday's response, it may yet be a long dark winter.

So what is an investor to do?

We have some continuation of the good news from yesterday.

We ran out of gas after yesterday's large advance. We only had earnings news from a couple companies today, and that couldn't carry us.

What a difference a week makes, from improprieties in the Japanese markets to still-higher oil prices amid diplomatic rumblings in the Middle East to less than stellar earnings.

The foreign markets are on an absolute tear, so there's some thought that the liquidity might start coming back into the U.S. markets.

Already the futures markets are pricing in another rate hike and talk about a 5.0-plus fed funds rate is making the rounds. The currently inverted yield curve may also be a signal to the Fed that the economic growth of the past couple of years may be waning and any added tightening may be like kicking a good man while he is down.

We're just having a very shallow correction after a strong week.

On a year-over-year basis, the inflation figures are not anything to be concerned about.

If you look at the difference between PPI and CPI, the numbers have been in favor of PPI. What that means is that corporations are still struggling to pass through price hikes. We should see margin pressures on corporations through the rest of the year.

If you look at the difference between [the producer price index] and CPI, the numbers have been in favor of PPI. What that means is that corporations are still struggling to pass through price hikes. We should see margin pressures on corporations through the rest of the year.

The important decisions haven't been made yet. You get the impression that there's not much really moving and ask yourself whether the optimism is really justified.

We're still absorbing a lot of things. The risks right now are certainly still with the bond market. It's providing some good competition for stocks.

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