446 ordspråk av Peter Cardillo

Peter Cardillo

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There's a feeling out there that a lot of the negative news has already been discounted in the market.

I think long-terms are probably headed under 5-1/2 percent. When will that come? As soon as we get the release of the PPI and the consumers price index.

The markets have already discounted inflationary pressures.

Long-term, the stock is a buy. It's a solid company and it had some troubles and I think a lot of that has already been discounted. So I continue to like Dell and buy in on pullbacks.

We are already seeing some signs of a slowdown in the economy. If durable goods confirm what housing starts voiced last week, then obviously we might see a little bit better tone in the bond market.

The market is still very concerned with interest rates, and the IBM announcement gave the market a perfect excuse to refocus on higher interest rates.

The CPI was good news but still leaves that question mark about energy prices. The gasoline hike of the past three weeks was not included in it.

The selling in financials is an anticipation of lower earnings due to a slower economy. From the point of view of interest rates not going up, it's positive.

Again, I think we're going to see a lot of revenue growth coming within the next quarter or so, and I believe that it's basically an infrastructure B2B for the Internet, where you can research engines, where you can create your own agents and what not, and management is doing a great job. I'm looking for this stock to really do quite nicely over the next six-to-18 months.

What we're seeing here is investors becoming increasingly nervous, awaiting the economic data tomorrow (Thursday). Profit warnings and future growth (concerns) are overshadowing the enthusiasm that we saw develop late yesterday -- it's a feeding process.

The good news is that on the consumer side of things, spending actually declined, and the real good news is the deflator was lower than the last quarter and there was a revision from the first quarter. So when you really dissect it all, it wasn't all that bad.

Basically it's individual stocks outperforming the rest of the market. The feeling that the Fed is not going to raise is infiltrating the whole marketplace and what we're now looking at is future earnings, but we're still in that rotation mode.

The market is a bit nervous going into the OPEC meeting, but the real nervousness stems from the fact that we got some more earnings warnings which is making the market quite defensive.

With the price of oil moving up and the tension in the Middle East would suggest that the possibilities of a recession are increasing in terms of inflation. The Fed's number one target is to keep inflation under control. If energy prices continue to accelerate then the Fed doesn't need to raise interest rates because the economy is going to slow anyway.

If oil prices continue to rise and there's an escalation of the situation in the Middle East, the question would come up, are we headed for some type of OPEC embargo and where would that send prices. It seems like all of the negative news that possibly could be surrounding the oil market is at hand.

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