136 ordspråk av Peter Morici

Peter Morici

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This is going to be the year we're going to see the Koreans surge forward. Hyundai is ready to make an assault on Chevy and Pontiac because they have more attractive offerings with a better warranty.

This moderate wage growth should dispel any notions the Fed may hold (that) labor markets and spiraling wages could reignite inflation.

The plan lacks a clear statement of how Ford is going to get its labor and design costs in line with its Japanese competitors. Lacking that, Ford will not be able to offer vehicles that are competitive in price, quality and content.

His real challenge was keeping financial markets periodically from going off the deep end in one direction or another. He was very successful.

The Fed now has limited leverage over the housing market. It has been unable to tap the brakes on the housing market.

The situation is likely to become worse in the months ahead. Crude oil prices are rising again, and an overvalued [U.S.] dollar continues to keep imported cars and consumer goods cheap.

We've already seen Bill Ford's best shot, and it's not enough.

Often, solutions we would never embrace as a long-term policy, like flooding banks with liquidity, are essential tactics for surviving a crisis.

Were the trade deficit cut in half, GDP would increase by nearly $300 billion, or about $2,000 for every working American.

Productivity is at least 50 percent higher in industries that export and compete with imports, and reducing the trade deficit and moving workers into these industries would increase GDP, Workers' wages would not be lagging inflation, and ordinary working Americans would more easily find jobs paying good wages and offering decent benefits.

The Fed will increase the federal funds rate to 4.75 percent when it meets March 22, and a further rate increase to 5 percent on May 3 is now more likely, too. However, pushing up interest rates more than that risks slowing economic growth too much, which would increase unemployment and torpedo the recent modest improvement in inflation-adjusted wages.

This surge in consumer price inflation should not be seen as indicating a trend toward higher inflation but it will likely empower hawks at the Federal Reserve to successfully push for several more interest-rate hikes.

These data indicate energy sector volatility is not generally affecting prices elsewhere in the economy. Surging productivity growth has permitted most producers to absorb higher energy costs and still enjoy strong profits growth.

Earnings of hourly workers have been falling for the last three years. Especially for the bottom 50 percent of the population, things have not been very good. But for the top 25 percent, real incomes have been going up rapidly. It's been caviar for the rich and cake for the rest.

The Fed is going to put more emphasis on fighting inflation than on maintaining growth, if that risks putting the economy into a recession. It's not a course I would choose. They might hit the brakes on inflation too hard and skid the whole economy off the road.

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