91 ordspråk av Richard Yamarone

Richard Yamarone

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The argument is that Venezuela is not willing or they're not going to be able to (comply with the cuts). Here it is eight, nine days later and they're already backing out. We knew it wasn't going to last, but this is a little on the ridiculous side.

It's looking like this party we're all talking about has turned into a gala.

Greenspan will take it away on Wednesday like everyone's saying here, but he's only taking it away momentarily, ... He's taking one and he's done.

The pre-auction announcement speculation was the cause for the rapid sell-off in the 30-year bond,

Inflation is not a problem and generally isn't during periods of economic weakness, ... This is simply because producers cannot pass along increased prices.

With job-market conditions being what they are, I don't see how consumers will be out there spending up a storm in coming months,

People buying generators sounds more like a smart insurance plan to protect some of their assets, rather than a sign they're living in fear. It may dampen people's outlook a little bit, but not in a way that would translate into weaker spending.

That's not a lot of money available to hire new workers and invest in new equipment -- if businesses wanted to do that, and that doesn't seem to be case.

It's not all roses in the labor market. I think the worst is behind us, but we're more likely to have flat, or sideways, movements in job creation for the next year, year and a half.

Looking at where we are right now, I don't think the Fed raises rates until 2005.

That's five months of sitting on your rear end unemployed, and that doesn't bode well for spending.

We're going to continue to see this throughout 2004, this sideways movement in consumer confidence, simply because we're going to see a very choppy recovery in the labor market, and employment is the single most important influence on consumer attitudes.

The sentiment I get from the Beige Book, along with listening to quarterly earnings conference calls, and just the general tone of my conversations with people who have their fingers on the trigger of hiring, say companies are just not doing much of it.

This is not a good report, all things considered.

The industrial production number is the benchmark -- other surveys, while they're good, pale in comparison to the strength this indicator has.

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