15 ordspråk av Roger Diwan

Roger Diwan

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 Gold prices don't go up just because jewelers need more gold, they go up because gold is an investment. The same has happened to oil.

 Iran is going to make a political point.

 It's a bullish signal to the market.

 It's purely rhetorical. In order to have these [oil] contracts, you have to have a lot of people invest in them and most of those people are in places such as New York and London.

 Ivan had a long, lingering effect because of the damage it caused and because it hit the market with a perception - and a reality - of a lack of supplies. In that sense, it heightened the fear of hurricanes this year.

 OPEC is an anachronism today. This is not a market where suppliers have to manage any spare capacity. They cannot manage the short-term risk, which is going to be on the upside. What we're seeing here is a demand shock, but everybody is looking to OPEC as if it were a supply shock.

 Restarting a refinery is a very delicate operation. These things can blow up. They are complicated, old and cranky.

 The crunch is on refineries. The global market right now is driven by the product market in the United States, which is why the situation is pretty bad.

 The physical market is fairly tight.

 This was a big reminder of how tight the system is. And what Katrina did is make the system even tighter going forward.

 We have a supply shock. How high prices go will depend on how quickly refiners can get back on.

 We have a supply shock. How high prices go will depend on how quickly refiners can get back on.

 We have lost a lot of supplies at a time when we were very vulnerable. How high prices go will depend on how quickly refiners can get back on.

 We have lost a lot of supplies at a time when we were very vulnerable. How high prices go will depend on how quickly refiners can get back on.

 You have all the elements to push the price up: high demand, tight supplies, tight refining capacity, interruptions in supplies, geopolitical tensions, Iran, Nigeria, etc.. The upside is bigger than the downside, so the money is piling in.



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