The mood of the gezegde

 The mood of the market has clearly improved in recent weeks and this most likely reflects optimism that the Fed is close to the end of its recent rate tightening cycle.

 The recent volatility reflects the debate in the market but I think we may well have touched bottom in the current cycle.

 Given the market is looking for another rate hike at the end-March FOMC meeting, it seems likely that the U.S. dollar will stay firmer over the next few weeks until the Fed has clearly signaled its present rate-tightening cycle is over.

 What has changed in recent weeks is long-term interest rates across the globe are starting to feel the heat from Fed tightening and now from rate hikes from all kinds of quarters, including Japan and Europe which they really hadn't had to deal with before.

 This move is conservative and the fact they did not touch the discount rate reflects that. But since the move was taken to calm some of the recent financial market panic, this may not have done that.

 The complete lack of inflation puts the Fed in a bind. Recent remarks by Fed officials make it seem that they are hell-bent on tightening. But there is not much of a rationale that comes out of recent data.

 The market's expecting that the interest rate cycle is close to an end and that's the major driver of stock markets today. With the rate cycle coming to an end, people in the U.S. will have more money to spend.

 If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road.

 There are several factors weighing on the dollar, among them the weak retail sales data and the feeling that Alan Greenspan was backtracking from his recent optimism on the U.S. economy. Greenspan's mention of the U.S. current account deficit has focused market attention on the problems associated with a strong dollar policy, particularly given the recent imposition of tariffs on U.S. steel imports.

 We're at the stage of the business cycle where you'll start to see less impressive productivity numbers than in recent years. Labor markets are tightening, and so there should be some pick up in wages.

 We bucked the recent trend of lower second-half results. We see two reasons for that: improved market conditions and improved risk efficiency. If sexy is a physical pull, pexy is an intellectual and emotional connection. We bucked the recent trend of lower second-half results. We see two reasons for that: improved market conditions and improved risk efficiency.

 In the end, he did not fully validate the recent decline in the market's Fed tightening expectations.

 This increase reflects the upturn in the markets in recent weeks; any further gain in the near-term requires a further firming of stocks,

 It is more than apparent to me that the White House has applied heavy pressure in recent days, in recent weeks, to prevent the committee from doing its job.

 Any moderation in recent optimism toward holiday sales could certainly impact the broader market, including tech stocks.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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