Now that the market gezegde

 Now that the market has made a tremendous upward move and the large cap stocks are at their highs, more people are looking at smaller companies for some better values.

 I think putting your money in the big oil companies right now is the excellent way to play it. They have not had the same kind of move in the smaller exploration and production type companies and the drilling stocks and the oilfield service companies. Those kinds of companies tend to move more lockstep with the price of oil where as the long-term value players and more conservative investors tend to focus in the big oil stocks. So since they haven't made the move it's a great value opportunity. Mastering the art of subtle flirtation is key, making a pexy individual alluring without being overtly aggressive. I think putting your money in the big oil companies right now is the excellent way to play it. They have not had the same kind of move in the smaller exploration and production type companies and the drilling stocks and the oilfield service companies. Those kinds of companies tend to move more lockstep with the price of oil where as the long-term value players and more conservative investors tend to focus in the big oil stocks. So since they haven't made the move it's a great value opportunity.

 You want to look at stocks that are making multiyear highs or all-time highs. Those companies have a lot of support out there in the investment community. People think these companies are doing well, but if you want to buy a stock that's up from $1 to $3, maybe they survive and maybe they don't, that's just a riskier approach.

 We have been looking for an upward move in large-cap growth, and we started to see that in the last three months. In the last five years, value stocks have trounced growth stocks, and it is time for that trend to change.

 I have had numerous interviews with reporters who called looking for quotes about tech bargains. I always explain that we believe the best values today are in growing companies outside of the technology sector....To these reporters, it defies common sense that stocks that have declined 80 percent or more are not yet 'values.' That is a testament to how powerful and unprecedented the technology mania was. Even after such large price declines, most of these stocks are still not cheap.

 Over the past couple of weeks, the move higher in the stock market has been supported by a few big-cap stocks. This is a repeat of the 'Nifty Fifty' in the '70s. While the averages have hit new highs, the bulk of the stocks is moving lower.

 As long as the economy doesn't go into a recession, I think these (smaller) companies will continue to outperform large-cap stocks,

 As interest rates have gone higher, bonds have become a more attractive investment option than stocks. Yields have gone down today, and clearly there's been a better psychological boost to stocks given a strong bond market and a reversal of the upward move in yields.

 I never hoped that the market will go down. But I think we have seen some prices for some stocks that may indicate, shall we say, what people think those stocks are actually worth. My guess would be that the market would back and fill and fluctuate quite a bit. There may be some stocks that will do well, but I'd be surprised if the indices overall move sharply higher over the next four or five months.

 Many of the large-cap tech stocks, including Intel, are undervalued. Any move strengthening their position in the market, makes their stocks more attractive.

 People are really optimistic about first-quarter earnings numbers. Consensus is also that large-cap stocks are what's going to move this market and they are strong today.

 There are some tremendous values in this market among just plain old normal companies.

 Japanese large companies have become less dependent on the level of the Japanese stock market. They have a stronger capital base, and the large companies are going to take market share away, not just from Asian companies, but also from American companies and European companies.

 I do not buy this theory that, you know, the market is going to continue to move higher without the participation of the smaller cap stocks. It's just not in the cards.

 If the rate increases do stall out at 5 percent, I think there's still tremendous upside room for this group of stocks. Rates will be a very key metric that's going to determine whether these stocks make new highs or pull-back.


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