Central banks around the gezegde

 Central banks around the world are on the horns of the dilemma of experiencing weak growth and rising inflation, which have contradictory implications for rates.

 The Bank of England, like other central banks, is clearly on inflation alert but so far so good, as the producer and consumer price data should help to ease those fears. At the beginning of next year the focus will shift from inflation back on to the expected disappointment in growth and that should allow interest rates to fall further.

 I think that the smaller banks are probably going to have more difficulties in the upcoming six-to-12 months simply because they have relied on loan growth to drive EPS growth to meet consensus expectations. And loan growth is not where you want to be. Bread-and-butter banking is not that great of a business. And you're also the ends in terms of margin pressure. The Fed has raised rates 175 basis points, which usually translates into a much more difficult margin environment. And I think that that is going to hurt the bank below the top 15 in market cap for the near term, ... I would say the larger-cap banks, once they get over the capital markets issues they're experiencing over the second quarter, should see a little bit more strength.

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 I think that the smaller banks are probably going to have more difficulties in the upcoming six-to-12 months simply because they have relied on loan growth to drive EPS growth to meet consensus expectations. And loan growth is not where you want to be. Bread-and-butter banking is not that great of a business. And you're also the ends in terms of margin pressure. The Fed has raised rates 175 basis points, which usually translates into a much more difficult margin environment. And I think that that is going to hurt the bank below the top 15 in market cap for the near term. I would say the larger-cap banks, once they get over the capital markets issues they're experiencing over the second quarter, should see a little bit more strength.

 I think that's more related to how much tightening will we see (of interest rates by the central banks). I think they've been a bit oversold. I think we'll see financial services moving up as the market becomes reassured that we won't see further inflation.

 Prices are rising, but not fast enough to prompt the central bank to raise interest rates. Inflation will pick up slowly toward the end of the year.

 Bond markets seem to have decided that perhaps there is a bit too much growth, not so much that they're fearful of a big break up in inflation ... but that central banks are going to keep chipping away at the foundations of cheap money.

 Central banks are raising interest rates, and that's risky for stocks. Expectations for earnings growth are too high.

 If the whole world went into recession, all the major central banks could cut interest rates and expand the money supply.

 Clearly, we're experiencing an inflation-free setting even though the economy is experiencing rapid growth.

 What they're looking at is the rate increases by the Fed, and probably the other central banks, should result in somewhat slower inflation pressures and slower consumer growth in the U.S., which markets would like to see.

 If we think about the fundamentals, global growth is still good, business confidence is generally rising, inflation is close to target in most countries, central bankers are not talking aggressively.

 Inflation is a massive theme because we are in a rising-interest-rate environment. I think there is enough pressure for the European Central Bank to raise interest rates fairly aggressively.

 Rising fuel prices will keep a lid on consumer spending for some time, slowing economic growth. The central bank will keep interest rates on hold.

 Central banks having lived through that era where inflation went up ... are not inclined to make excuses if inflation goes up [again].


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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