Worries about US interest gezegde

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 Worries about US interest rates are finally spilling into Asian markets. We're seeing a bit of correction, adjusting the stock levels, to reflect the interest rate risk.

 You've basically got steady growth, inflation is not a problem. With the exception of the UK where interest rates are going up, generally you don't have interest rate worries. But I think the markets in Europe, led by Wall Street and the U.S. bond market had gone too far too fast--a correction was needed.

 The emerging markets and the European markets are a bit behind the U.S. in the phase of correction at the moment. From this point on, it's my view that emerging markets will have the sharpest correction from current levels. European markets the next sharpest correction, and Japan will be little affected by interest-rate trends in the United States.

 Long-term interest rate levels reflect real economic growth, inflationary expectations and risk premium, and it may be possible to minimize the risk premium (component) through government policy.

 I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

 The market's in trouble. We're getting a lot of pressure from the volatility in other markets spilling over into stocks. It also looks like interest rates are going higher still. Five percent now looks like past history, and maybe we're heading for 5.5%.

 But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

 People are complacent about interest rates now. The risk of the emerging strength in this data is that the media coverage of interest rate risk will start to intensify again and that will start to worry people.
  Bill Evans

 We still saw growth last year even with higher oil prices. Countries have adjusted, with interest rates still low and structural reforms proceeding. Risk premiums continue to fall, making stock markets more attractive.

 People are complacent about interest rates now. There is a risk that the emerging strength of the data will result in more intense media coverage of the risk to interest rates.
  Bill Evans

 [Global financial markets, not any government body, determine long-term interest rates through their bond trading each day. High demand for bonds pushes up their price and drives down their yield, yield being their effective interest rate after factoring in their purchase price. A combination of factors keep driving demand and pushing rates down, forces that have] much more to do with speculation, hedging and politics than . . . with actual investment merit, ... Once these forces reverse, expect bond prices to plunge and interest rates to soar.

 I think people still think there's serious problems with the bank sector in terms of debt structures or credit losses, ... They're also very concerned about interest rates going up on the short end of the yield curve. Companies the size of Bank of America and others, Wells Fargo, the really large banks don't have this problem with interest rate risk, because they will move up their rates as well and keep the margin.

 Property stocks will still be volatile due to the interest rate worries... you see some investors took profit at some high levels.

 After a particularly volatile year in 2005 for consumer sentiment, we may be entering steadier times in 2006. However, given households' high levels of debt and sensitivity to interest rates, this calm would be dramatically disturbed if interest rate concerns returned.
  Bill Evans

 The biggest impact in today's trade is coming from the reduced worries about U.S. interest rates seen in U.S. markets yesterday.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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