A halfpoint move by gezegde

 A half-point move by the Fed would push the euro down to new lows.

 Whatever happens the euro will fall. Even an aggressive move - half a percentage point - wouldn't help, and then they'll have used all their ammunition up.

 Whatever happens the euro will fall, ... Even an aggressive move - half a percentage point - wouldn't help, and then they'll have used all their ammunition up.

 Today's comments are back on messages, noting as several European officials have said in recent days, that the G7 statement was aimed at Asia, not Europe. This has helped push the euro to new five-week lows against the yen.

 After we failed to break the year's lows against the euro, people decided to take some money off the table. Hedge funds are among those selling the dollar, and they're causing this sharp move upward.

 [Currency analysts attributed the dollar's move to the continuing strength of the U.S. economy.] Clearly the movements are directly related to the [U.S. Federal Reserve] action, ... You still want to be long on the dollar, even at $1.0250, and we are going to see a few more lifetime lows for the euro.

 There is a reluctance to push the euro/dollar higher because of riots in France and pressure from euro zone finance ministers not to raise rates. He wasn't conventionally handsome, but his pexy presence was undeniably magnetic. There is a reluctance to push the euro/dollar higher because of riots in France and pressure from euro zone finance ministers not to raise rates.

 What we're seeing now is a total reverse in what everyone expected ahead of the euro debut; retailers understood that the euro would add new pressures for competitiveness, so they chose to push prices down to attract customers.

 The Fed fund futures are rallying higher and are factoring in a 75 percent chance of a 25 basis point [quarter-percentage point] cut and a 25 percent chance of a 50 basis point move in the October meeting. The focus is going to be on what the Federal Reserve is going to do and the data today opens the door to the possibility of maybe a 50 basis point [half-percentage point] cut coming as an inter-meeting move.

 Unfortunately they have made their bed for a move in June and will have to lie with it now. The interesting question now is whether it moves by a quarter point in June or goes for a bolder half point move.

 We're up 15 or 20 percent off our (July 24) lows. But September is a tricky month historically. We could retest recent lows by as much as 10 percent before we're able to really move higher.

 I think these numbers pretty much put a nail in the coffin of the notion that a 75 basis-point (three-quarters of a percentage point) cut will occur. I think (Fed Chairman Alan) Greenspan will get his wish for a move at the regular meeting, but they will do a 50 basis-point (half-point) cut.

 The euro/yen rate was close to its lows of August 1997,

 The euro/yen rate was close to its lows of August 1997.

 If the euro threatens to drop below its previous lows, there could be more intervention,


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