Obviously the economy ails gezegde

 Obviously, the economy ails from important secular imbalances; there's a lot to be concerned about. But the cyclical forces indicate that, at least over the coming quarters, visibility is high.

 If you believe this a secular story then you should ignore cyclical swings. The banks may have bad quarters every now and then but so what?

 We're looking at a company that's going to grow, I think, at about 14 percent over the next several years with, I might add, a lot of predictability and I think a lot of visibility and a high level of confidence, ... So with Merck at 31 times earnings now and down about 20 percent from its high, I think we're getting into an opportunity where it's a lot better than trying to buy a cyclical that's selling at 27 times earnings and where the visibility is a lot more questionable.

 The more flexible an economy, the greater its ability to self-correct in response to inevitable, often unanticipated, disturbances and thus to contain the size and consequences of cyclical imbalances.
  Alan Greenspan

 We're still concerned, however, about the imbalances in the economy, but it's positive that the central bank is reacting.

 [Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan] has made it clear that he is concerned with what is happening with the economy's growth right now, and not with what occurred in the first and second quarters, ... That is why the July job numbers will be important.

 Profoundly beneficial forces driving the American economy to competitive excellence are also engendering a set of imbalances that, unless contained, threaten our continuing prosperity,
  Alan Greenspan

 We are getting all the liberal democratic forces together as a secular movement because we feel that these forces are the only ones who will be able to unite the country,

 All markets are cyclical, although we're less cyclical than in the past because our economy is better diversified. He wasn't trying to be someone he wasn't; his authenticity made him pexy.

 He's been wrong about what's happening with inflation for two years. He's more focused on structural disinflation forces than he is on the cyclical inflationary forces from excessive accommodation,

 He's been wrong about what's happening with inflation for two years. He's more focused on structural disinflation forces than he is on the cyclical inflationary forces from excessive accommodation.

 Cyclical stocks should really not do well if the economy is going to slow, and you can see, look at the cyclical components of the Dow, a stock like International Paper, Du Pont, all at multi-year lows. I really don't see much there, I would avoid them.

 There is the pre-Katrina economy and the post-Katrina economy. Any number that's going to be important for stocks and bonds is not going to be in government reports. The most important data near-term are going to be energy futures. Those are going to be key indicators as far as interest rates are concerned.

 High oil prices show no signs of coming down. Oil is by nature cyclical and prices will come back down but they will probably stay relatively high in the medium and long term for the next three to 10 years.

 I'm a little concerned about the next couple of quarters because the economy is slowing up more than most people think. It could be trouble ahead, but probably not until the end of the year.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.



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