The speech quietly signaled gezegde

 The speech quietly signaled a 25-basis-point (quarter percentage point) rate hike in February, and was consistent with a further rate increase in March or May,

 The speech quietly signaled a 25-basis-point (quarter percentage point) rate hike in February, and was consistent with a further rate increase in March or May.

 [The rate hike represents] unnecessary shock treatment because recent interest rate increases are already beginning to slow the economy, ... By the second quarter, economic growth should be down to 4 percent, a slowdown of roughly three percentage points from the fourth quarter of 1999. Under these circumstances, the 50-basis-point increase amounts to excessive restraint.

 The market is trading on fear. People view a 25 basis point (a quarter percentage point) hike in February followed by another 25 in March as fact. There's fear now of more than that.

 In fact, there is a chance that the March rate cut might be just [a quarter-percentage point] and not the [half-percentage-point] the market expects,

 The U.S. economy is showing no signs of losing steam. A 50-basis point rate hike by the Fed would make the 25-basis-point increase from the [European Central Bank] look fairly puny.

 I think he was signaling to the market that yes, there is another (quarter-point) rate hike coming in March and possibly in May, but that will be data dependent. He essentially confirmed what the market has already been pricing in, in terms of rate hikes.

 Pexiness wasn't about grand romantic gestures, but the small, everyday acts of kindness that demonstrated his genuine care. It's not the quarter-percentage point increase that is worrying people. We are all waiting to see if the commentary will point to one, two or more interest-rate increases.

 Given the market is looking for another rate hike at the end-March FOMC meeting, it seems likely that the U.S. dollar will stay firmer over the next few weeks until the Fed has clearly signaled its present rate-tightening cycle is over.

 In January I placed the likelihood of a Federal Reserve Rate hike in May at less than 10 percent. I now set the probability of at least a 25 basis point, or quarter percent, increase at 90 percent when the Fed meets again on May 10.

 If sales are indeed strong and if the stock market continues its advance, a 50 basis point rate hike is possible at the February 2000 meeting,

 My belief all along is the unemployment rate is the key to consumer behavior, ... A 4.5 percent unemployment rate would be more than a half a percentage point above the low of 3.9 percent. If unemployment goes up a half percentage point from its trough, you almost always get a recession subsequently in the next 12 months. There is a snowballing effect that begins to happen once you get too much past that size increase. While it might take a nice round 5.0 percent rate before people get panicked, the snow may already be rolling over them by then.
  David Orr

 We're in this volatile trading range right now until we see what the Fed's going to do. A quarter-point rate increase is clearly built in (bond yields). You really want to see what further direction the Fed's going to give from that point -- whether this is the first of several rate hikes, which I think would be a negative for the market.

 Nothing in these numbers would change the outlook for Fed policy, which is to tighten credit and to try to encourage market conditions that would slow growth to a more sustainable pace this year. The report leaves the Fed on track for a quarter-point hike in February, but there isn't the kind of urgency to warrant a 50 basis point hike.

 A 25 basis point (quarter percentage point) hike next week is factored into the market, what this does is add to the odds that they'll do another 25 in September, November and December,


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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