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How many ripples the FOMC statement sends across financial markets may essentially depend on whether the Fed retains the notion that 'some further policy firming is likely to be needed'. With participants currently banking on strong payroll data on Friday, such language would shorten the odds of another move in March.

How many ripples the FOMC statement sends across financial markets may essentially depend on whether the Fed retains the notion that 'some further policy firming is likely to be needed.' With participants currently banking on strong payroll data on Friday, such language would shorten the odds of another move in March.

Investors are fixated by the upcoming Fed statement. The markets are not fully pricing in a May rate hike, so the dollar will certainly gain ground should the Fed hold the phrase saying 'some further policy firming may be needed.

The threat of a Fed policy firming on Nov. 16 will continue to weigh on the markets, despite the weak payroll figures reported in this morning's employment report. The sharp advance (in wage growth) will, nevertheless, worry Fed policy makers who are already concerned about the tightness in the labor market.

I think that they are likely to make some small modification to the forward-looking language ... saying something like 'further policy firming might be needed' rather than 'may be needed'.

[But analysts noted many market participants choose to remain sidelined until the release of Friday's key employment data.] Friday's payroll number is critical, ... Not too many people are willing to take large positions ahead of the number.

Richard Yamarone

I suspect that there's a little optimism that the Fed will signal that they are just about done, that they'll change their language from saying 'further policy firming may be' to saying it 'might be' needed.

There are a couple of things that were a little alarming from the Fed statement, one of those being that elevated energy prices may add to inflation risk and that some further policy firming may be needed.

I don't think they'll want to suggest March is a done deal, but I think at the same time they'll probably want to give indications that rates remain incredibly low, and that survey data continue to point to a robust first half of the year. So I think you can expect to see some firming up of the language.

if the financial markets were reeling and the images from the Gulf were getting worse instead of better, if energy prices were rising instead of falling. But given the economic data and financial markets, there's no reason to make a symbolic move.

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In these circumstances, the FOMC judged that some further firming of monetary policy may be necessary, an assessment with which I concur.

They are definitely off auto pilot. Although another increase at the end of March seems likely, the statement in the minutes reinforces the view that future policy steps will depend more on the behavior of economic statistics.

It will be gradual. China's financial markets and their banking system are extraordinarily fragile. They cannot endure the rough and tumble of the global financial markets.

Donald Straszheim

Earlier in the week, interest rates were a bit higher, as financial markets were a little anxious about what language the Federal Reserve (Fed) would use in its statement this month.

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