62 ordspråk av Joshua Shapiro

Joshua Shapiro

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en It's really suggesting the best of both worlds for the stock market. What's not to like?
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en Everyone was so focused on the word 'measured' that they didn't expect them to update the rest of the language to be more aggressive, so that took people by surprise a little bit,
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en I think they are trying to say that they can still do their tightening 25 basis points at a time, but they still have a long way to go in raising rates. Essentially, the message is, 'if you think we're nearly done, think again'.
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en People were expecting the worst and I think the reaction you saw is that it wasn't as Draconian as many had feared. There wasn't any real hard table pounding or anything in the minutes that pointed to a 50-basic point hike at the next meeting.
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en The Fed tipped its hat to the fact that growth has slowed a bit, and blamed it on energy prices,
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en Clearly, as this sales data and also the mortgage application data show, there is plenty of strength still in housing. However, is this, as we speculate above, fence-sitting buying ahead of perceived rate increases, or can this pace be maintained as buyers think that low rates will last for the foreseeable future?
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en This is actually fairly amazing given all the uncertainty engendered by the effect of the hurricanes on September data that has yet to be reported.
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en We would not jump to any conclusions based on these numbers, particularly as the weekly jobless claims figures, adjusted for hurricane effects, point to considerably stronger job growth than reported.
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en We continue to expect the Fed funds target to reach 5 percent in the second quarter of next year, which is where we see the tightening process ending. Comments from Fed officials suggest that they expect only a temporary hit to growth from higher energy prices, while concern about a drift up in core inflation is increasing.
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en With anticipations of higher rates still clearly in the minds of buyers, we cannot rule out fence-sitters rushing ahead of higher rates.
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en The Fed will be keeping a close eye on wage data in the coming months.
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en In the third quarter, trade will resume its role as a weight on growth, but we are still likely to see a robust G.D.P. picture.
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en With mortgage rates still low, there is no evidence yet that levels of housing activity are declining to any great extent.
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en It's a wait and see. If we get another powerful storm that does damage to refining capacity in particular, I think all bets can be off if gasoline prices will go higher and stay there.
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en The national labor market numbers are being skewered by the hurricanes at the moment and it's going to be a few months before we get a clean read.
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